Benfica vs Desportivo Aves Predictions

• Benfica have 42 points on the board compared to Aves’ six.
• Benfica are unbeaten in their last six matches.
• Aves have lost five of their last six matches.
• Benfica haven’t lost any of their last 12 matches against Aves.

Benfica formidable at home this season

Benfica have won 10 of their last 12 matches against Aves, with the other two games ending in draws. The hosts have also kept four clean sheets in their last six meetings with Aves and have gone on to win the game on each of those occasions. Benfica are in great form right now and won their first match of the new year against Vitoria Guimaraes, extending their unbeaten run to 11 matches in all competitions.

At the same time, Aves lost at home to Santa Clara and have now failed to score in three of their last six league games. Benfica have won seven of their eight home games in the league this season, only losing to title rivals Porto, while Aves have lost all their eight away games in the Primeira Liga and the odds are hugely against them breaking that losing streak on Friday.

The hosts average 2.63 points per home game, while the visitors are yet to pick up a single point on the road, with Benfica scoring an average of 2.75 goals per home game and Aves conceding an average of 2.75 goals per away game.

Aves yet to pick up a single point on the road

Aves’ away games produce an average of 3.75 total goals and Benfica’s home games produce an average of 3.00 total goals. Over 2.5 goals have been produced in 50% of Benfica’s home games, while 75% of Aves’ away games have seen at least three goals scored; none of Benfica’s home games have seen both teams score, so we are backing a comfortable 3-0 win for the title challengers this Friday.

Benfica have only conceded two goals at home this season, keeping clean sheets in 88% of their home games, while Aves have conceded 22 goals on the road and failed to score in 25% of their away games. Benfica have won-to-nil in 88% of their home games this season and look extremely strong at the back, having only been really tested by arch-rivals Porto.

We’re confident Benfica will win-to-nil on Friday and we have predicted a final scoreline of 3-0. The hosts haven’t lost any of their last 12 matches against Aves and the visitors arrive bottom of the table, with defeats in all their away games so far this season. Benfica have only conceded goals in one of their home games this season and are unlikely to face much of a test against an Aves side that have only scored eight times on the road.