Brescia vs Lecce Predictions

• Brescia currently rank as the worst home team in Serie A. They’ve claimed one point at home this term.
• Lecce are currently Serie A’s eighth best travelling team, though only one team in the league has conceded more away goals.
• No team in Seria A has scored less home goals than Brescia during the current campaign.

Home form must improve

Things finally improved for Brescia last weekend, as they got the better of SPAL thanks to a winner from summer signing Mario Ballotelli. Not only was that 1-0 victory Brescia’s first three points in almost two months, but it was their first clean sheet in seven games.

Saturday’s hosts currently find themselves in the bottom three and there are two very clear reasons for that. Firstly, they’ve not scored anywhere near enough goals, notching a paltry 11 in 14 matches. Secondly, they’ve given far too much away at the other end of proceedings, shipping 26.

Even at home, Brescia have been far too unbalanced, scoring just five and conceding 15. Relegation seems unavoidable if they don’t improve quite considerably in both areas. Unsurprisingly, the hosts have won none of their six home games, only one of which they’ve drawn. They’ve also kept just one clean sheet, conceding two or more in five out of six.

Lecce look for second win in nearly three months

Much like Brescia at Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Lecce have struggled to keep teams at bay, conceding the second-highest number of away goals in the division.

However, the visitors have done a much better job of scoring goals on the road than Brescia have at home, notching 12 in eight. If only they hadn’t conceded 16, then they may be OK. Lecce’s last away match resulted in a 1-0 win over Fiorentina, but we shouldn’t be fooled by the result. Although they kept a clean sheet, Saturday’s visitors did anything but keep things tight. Frankly, had Fiorentina had their shooting boots on, then the visitors would’ve conceded multiple goals for the fourth time in five away matches.

Given that they’ve scored in 100% of their travelling matches this season, Lecce will fancy themselves to do some damage against Brescia, but their dodgy rear-guard means that it’s tough to see them coming away unscathed.

Goals, goals, goals

Given the defensive record of both, this match represents a huge opportunity for each side to hit their stride offensively. In the betting, ‘Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score’ appeals. Brescia have surrendered an average of 2.5 goals at home, while Lecce have conceded an average of 2.00 on the road. Moreover, at least three goals have been scored in five of Brescia’s six home games, as well as in six of Lecce’s eight away games. In addition, the pair have kept just two clean sheets between them in those 14 matches, while both rank inside the bottom six when it comes to shots on target against in Serie A this season.