Corinthians vs Guarani Asuncion Predictions

• Corinthians have won 3 of their last 5 home games.
• Corinthians have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 6 home games.
• Guarani have lost 2 of their last 3 Libertadores away games by 1-0 margins.

Corinthians looking to come from behind

Although they came into this tie as huge favourites, as we expected, Corinthians had a tough time in last week’s first leg, going down 1-0 in Asunción. That leaves Tiago Nunes’ men with plenty of work to do on Thursday and they’ll have to show more in the final third if they are to turn things around and progress.

Corinthians have now lost 3 of their last 4 games and it’s fair to say Nunes’ start as boss hasn’t been an impressive one but they can at least call upon the fact they are typically strong at home. Indeed, Timao have won 3 of their last 5 home games and having kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 6 as hosts, they can be confident in preventing Guarani snatching an away goal that would leave them in big trouble.

Guarani looking to defend their lead

Meanwhile, we fancied Guarani to get a result in the home leg of this tie and that they managed to do, restricting Corinthians well to establish an advantage to bring to Sao Paulo. The Paraguayans still have a lot of work left to do but will be looking to keep things tight in order to protect their lead on Thursday.

Having won their last 6 games, Guarani are in excellent shape and confidence certainly isn’t low but a trip to Corinthians is always a tough ask and there can be no doubting that the visitors are still big underdogs. Indeed, the fact they’ve lost 2 of their last 3 Libertadores away games is a concern and keeping the Brazilians at bay is going to be a tough task if they are to complete the upset.

A tight game is expected but Corinthians should win on the night

Ultimately, this is likely to be a very tight and cagey affair but is one the hosts should be winning.. Corinthians are expected to turn the tie around and though they aren’t firing on all cylinders, they should still have enough quality on paper to eventually break through a Guarani outfit that is almost certain to sit deep and put men behind the ball from the off.

All things considered, it’s backing a Corinthians win to nil that has drawn our attention as far as betting is concerned and said line looks to provide good value at current odds. With a lead to defend, Guarani aren’t likely to attack often and we just can’t see them scoring, with a 1-0 home win that would take the tie to penalties looking on the cards.