De Graafschap vs FC Utrecht Reserves Predictions

• De Graafschap sit 9 points and nine places above Utrecht Jong in the Eerste Divisie table.
• The last time the pair locked horns at this venue the hosts ran out 7-0 winners (February 2018).
• Both teams have scored and over 3.5 goals were produced in four of De Graafschap’s last six matches.
• Utrecht Jong are without a win in their last three league games.

High-flying De Graafschap are yet to lose in their own backyard

These two clubs have only met five times before, between 2016-2019, and De Graafschap have won three of those encounters and over 3.5 goals have been produced in all of those meetings. De Graafschap have only lost one of their last six matches in the league and both teams have scored in each of those games, while Utrecht Jong have only won one of their last six competitive and non-competitive matches, four of which have seen both teams score.

De Graafschap are unbeaten at home so far this season picking up six win s and four draws, while Utrecht Jong have lost five of their ten away games and have performed much better at home than they have on the road. The hosts average 2.20 points per home game while their guests only average 0.90 points per away game and De Graafschap’s home games produce an average of 3.00 goals but over 3.5 goals have been scored in 50% of the games played in front of their own fans.

The hosts score an average of 2.40 goals per home game and concede an average of 0.60 goals, which ties in well with our prediction of a 3-1 home win on Friday, while Utrecht Jong score an average of 0.90 goals per away game and over 3.5 goals have been scored in 40%^ of their games on the road which only adds further weight to our final scoreline prediction.

Utrecht are much stronger at home than they are on the road

De Graafschap have only conceded 6 goals at home this season and have scored an impressive 24 goals, while Utrecht Jong have conceded almost double the number of goals they have scored on the road so far this season. 40% of the hosts’ home games have seen both teams score while the same can be said about 30% of Utrecht Jong’s away games this season, so you can see why we have backed both teams to score on Friday.

20% of De Graafschap’s home games and 30% of Utrecht Jong’s away games have seen exactly 4 goals scored, which ties in well with our prediction for a 3-1 final scoreline in favour of De Graafschap on Friday. A majority of De Graafschap’s wins have been obtained with a margin of 2 goals or more (6 wins) while a majority of Utrecht Jong’s defeats had a margin of 2 goals or more (5 defeats), which makes our 3-1 final scoreline look even more credible.

We’re confident that both teams will score in Friday’s clash and we have predicted a final scoreline of 3-1 in favour of De Graafschap. The hosts are yet to lose at home and have a good record against this particular opponent and when the pair have met they matches have always gone on to produce over 3.5 goals. The hosts ended the year unbeaten in their last four league games but failed to keep a single clean sheet during that period which is one of the main reasons we have backed both teams to score this Friday.