Dynamo Dresden vs Kaiserslautern Predictions

• Kaiserslautern ended the regular season with a three-game losing streak.
• Kaiserslautern have not scored in back-to-back games.
• Dresden are unbeaten in the last four competitive H2Hs (W3, D1).

Can Kaiserslautern upset the odds?

After a long season in the 3.Bundesliga, Kaiserslautern must go at it one more time after a four-game winless run saw them drop into the play-off position before being held scoreless by Dresden in the first leg of this crucial clash.

Kaiserslautern looked a sure bet for automatic promotion for stages of the regular season, but being pipped to the post has arguably given them a psychological mountain to climb in this play-off.

On the other hand, Dynamo Dresden have endured a tough campaign in their first season back in the second-tier, but have been afforded a chance at redemption via this playoff. Winning the 3.Bundesliga in 2020/21 with a league double over their hosts, Dresden will hope to emulate those performances to maintain their second-tier status.

Stick with the hosts to get a long awaited home win

Dresden are actually without a home win in this calendar year (D5, L4), but those stalemates were against stronger sides than Kaiserslautern are used to playing, which suggests that Dresden can finally end that rotten run of winless home games at the most crucial time.

We predict that this game will be a tight and tense affair as play-offs usually are, but the value looks to lie in backing the hosts to edge out a narrow victory to ensure survival.

For smaller stakes, we are going for a tense and tight 1-0 home win, one that will strengthen the trend of six of Dresden’s last seven home games producing under 2.5 total goals.