Fiorentina vs SPAL Predictions

• Fiorentina have conceded in 83% of their matches this season.
• The hosts are without a clean sheet in 10.
• The hosts have seen both teams score in 4 straight games.
• SPAL have lost 7 of their 9 away trips this term.

Crisis Looming

Fiorentina could be plunged into crisis on Sunday, as they host the league’s bottom side. SPAL have had a dire campaign – with only three wins in 18 games – but they sit just six points off their opponents this weekend. Meanwhile, Fiorentina are only four points clear of the drop zone.

After a terrible 2019, Fiorentina are in serious danger of the drop for the second season running. They need to sort that out quickly, so they’ve turned to effective manager Beppe Iachini. The new boss started out with a point last time out, but this result could define his tenure.

A Tough Time for La Viola

The hosts are in danger following a huge slump in form, which cost Vincenzo Montella his job. Since the start of November, Fiorentina have picked up only three points in Serie A – only Toulouse (0) and Nîmes (1) have won fewer points in the top-5 European leagues in this period. That’s bound to have hit this side hard.

The hosts have their defence to blame, having conceded in 83% of their matches so far. They’re among the worst set ups in the division, having shipped over a goal per game this term. Without a clean sheet in 10 matches, the home side have major problems to fix before they can reach anything like their previous highs.

Can SPAL Take Advantage?

The visitors will head into this one aiming to extend Fiorentina’s problems on the road, with the visitors scoring in each of their last three trips. The hosts are without a clean sheet in five at home, so we expect the away side to grab a goal in this one. However, their record against Fiorentina should worry the league’s bottom side.

SPAL have won only one of their last 13 Serie A games against Fiorentina (D4 L8): a 1-0 win at Ferrara in the 1967/68 season. Meanwhile, Fiorentina scored the most Serie A goals against SPAL last season (seven). La Viola scored again at the weekend, while they have failed to score in just one of their last seven at this ground. With 67% of their home matches seeing both teams score – along with each of their last four league games – we are going with BTTS here.

Both of these sides are currently struggling, but we think that Fiorentina will take advantage with a result. La Viola will eventually turn things around under Iachini and meeting this SPAL side is the perfect chance. The visitors have lost seven of nine away trips this season, while Fiorentina won both meetings last term. With goals likely here, we’re backing a narrow victory for Fiorentina with a 2-1 home win our correct score pick.