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Kalmar vs Djurgarden Predictions

Sweden Allsvenskan | Guldfågeln Arena | 22nd July
Kalmar badge
Kalmar
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
KO 18:00
Djurgarden badge
Djurgarden
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Kalmar vs Djurgarden predictions for Monday’s Swedish Allsvenskan fixture at Guldfågeln Arena. The high-flying visitors will be looking for their first win in three. Continue reading below for all our free tips and predictions.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Kalmar FF to Win @ 13/5

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Kalmar FF 2-1 @ 11/1

Reason For Kalmar vs Djurgarden Predictions

It wasn’t too long ago that Kalmar appeared to have turned a corner, though they’ve since moved in the wrong direction, losing three on the bounce. After a string of poor results, Monday’s hosts find themselves just one place above the drop-zone and thus need a reprieve. In contrast, Djurgarden are fighting for a place in the top three, which is where they’ll be if they win this game.

They’ve enjoyed a few promising moments, though in truth, it’s been a disappointing campaign for Kalmar. On the road they’ve been weak, having taken just six points from eight games, while they haven’t been any stronger at home.

In front of their own fans, Kalmar have accumulated just seven points from seven matches. No team in the Swedish top-flight has taken less in front of a home crowd. The reason behind their poor form is a lack of both creativity and end-product in the final third. Defensively, on their own patch at least, Kalmar have been competitive, but they’ve struggled massively at the other end of the pitch, scoring just six goals in seven games at Guldfågeln Arena. Only one team in the division has scored less home goals than Kalmar, who’ve won just once at home during the current campaign.

While Kalmar have been poor on their own patch, Djurgarden have been excellent away from home, so much so that they come into this match with the best away record in the division. Monday’s visitors have won four, drawn two and lost just one of their seven travelling matches.

Going forward, Djurgarden have performed well on the road, scoring 12 goals in seven games, while they’ve done a good job at the other end of proceedings too, conceding just four. Such stats bode well for the visitors ahead of a game against struggling hosts.

Given the basic stats/form of both, it’s easy to make a case for the visitors, though at the prices, it may just pay to side with the hosts. For all they’ve struggled in general, Kalmar do come into this game off the back of a very decent effort against AIK in their most recent home game. They lost the game by a goal to nil, but they emerged with a very pleasing expected goal difference of +0.50.

Moreover, for all the visitors have done well this season, their underlying numbers on the road aren’t particularly menacing, as they’ve averaged 1.11 expected goals for and boast an average expected goal difference of +0.11. In contrast, Kalmar have averaged 1.87 expected goals for at home and have an average difference of +0.70, which if maintained could lead to them improving their form in the not so distant future.

All in all, once we scratch beneath the surface, there’s reason to feel that the hosts have a slightly better chance of being successful than the current prices suggest, so a small play on a home win offers some value.

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Submitted Successfully
Article by: Bradley G
Contact: bradley.gibbs@apsleygroup.co.uk
Twitter: @BGibbs92
Published: July 21, 2019

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