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Moldova vs Luxembourg Predictions

  • 17:00
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  • Stadionul Zimbru

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      Tip Reasoning

      Both Moldova and Luxembourg head into the final Nations League game in Group 2 of League C knowing a win could see them promoted. However, Belarus top the group with eleven points and face whipping boys San Marino who have lost each of their five matches. San Marino would need to win for Moldova to stand any chance of earning promotion, while a draw in that game couple with a Luxembourg victory could be enough for this weekends visitors to pinch top spot.

      On Thursday night Moldova scrapped passed San Marino with a 1-0 victory in Serravalle, and in truth the winning margin could, and probably should, have been three or four goals higher.

      The first half ended goalless despite Moldova dominating possession and creating plenty of goal scoring opportunities. The nerves began to show for the visitors as they created more chances to break the deadlock without success, with genuine fear beginning to show for Moldova as nothing but a win would do.

      However, after having 78% of the overall possession, fourteen corners to the hosts one, and eighteen shots to San Marino’s three, Moldova finally scored. Substitute Damascan was the hero of the hour, scoring the winning goal for the visitors in the seventy-seventh minute, but despite the result Moldova will be disappointed with their failure to convert more of their chances in the final third.

      The Moldovan forwards are all in experienced at this level with just fifteen caps and one goal between them. Midfielder Radu Gînsari has scored six goals in twenty-nine appearances for his county and certain provides a threat in the final third with late runs into the box, but its defender and captain Alexandru Epureanu who top scores in the squad with eight international goals.

      Luxembourg had their fate in their own hands when they played host to Belarus on Thursday, only to lose the game and probably their chances of promotion to League C courtesy of a 2-0 defeat.

      Dragun opened the scoring in the thirty-seventh minute after good work from teammate Saroka, and on the balance of play the visitors just about deserved their half time lead. The second forty-five saw Luxembourg come back into the match, but it was always Belarus that looked the more likely to score, and just nine minutes after the restart Dragun scored his second goal of the game.

      Luxembourg needed a quick response, but just couldn’t break down a resolute Belarus defence and the visitors held firm to collect a massive three points heading into the group’s deciding game on Sunday.

      Veteran forward Aurélien Joachim provides the focal point of the Luxembourg attack with fifteen international goals in seventy-seven appearances for his country. Daniel da Mota is now 33-years old and could win his ninety-second cap this weekend, and will be looking to add to his seven goals for Luxembourg.

      Luxembourg certainly have more about them in terms of quality and experience, but that defeat against Belarus could have done a lot of damage to the visitors moral. Even a win is unlikely to mean Luxembourg qualify from the group, but the positives certainly outweigh the negatives as the visitors overall performance has been much better than most expected.

      We’re confident that Luxembourg will win on Sunday, and have backed the final scoreline to be a comfortable 2-0. Luxembourg beat Moldova 4-0 in their last encounter in October and the visitors have won four of their last six internationals, while Moldova have failed to score in four of their last six internationals.

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