Monarcas Morelia vs Toluca Predictions

• Monarcas Morelia have lost just 1 of their last 9 home games, winning 6 times in the process.
• During said streak, they’ve scored an average of 2.44 goals a game.
• Toluca have lost 3 of their last 4 competitive games, conceding an average of 2.5 goals a game in the process.
• Monarcas Morelia beat Toluca 2-0 away from home in the opening phase of Liga MX action.

Monarcas Morelia gunning for 3 points

After a strong opening phase that saw them finish 7th in the regular standings before reaching the semi-finals of the play-offs, Monarcas Morelia will be looking to kick off the closing phase of the Liga MX in strong fashion on Saturday. The fixture is one they are expecting to win and having already defeated Toluca 2-0 away from home this campaign, confidence can be high going into it.

Typically strong on home turf, Monarcas’ prospects look bright heading into the clash and their recent performances in front of the home crowd have been very good. Indeed, the hosts have lost just 1 of their last 9 home outings, winning 6 times in the process whilst plunging home an average of 2.44 goals a game.

Toluca looking for improvement

Meanwhile, typically used to challenging at the top end of Liga MX, a 17th placed finish in the Apertura phase was not what Toluca were looking for. The side managed to take just 17 points from 18 games over the opening period of the season and that has them desperate for improvement in this closing phase.

Nonetheless, Saturday’s game looks a tough one for the visitors and it’s not easy to picture them securing any kind of result. Indeed, they’ve now lost 3 of their last 4 competitive games, conceding a big average of 2.5 goals a game in the process; showing they have clear defensive vulnerabilities. 

Monarcas have to be fancied

Ultimately, with the home crowd behind them, Monarcas Morelia have to be considered clear favourites in this fixture. They played well over the opening phase of the season and having already got the better of Toluca on the road, they’ll be confident of dispatching of them once again.

All things considered, we see good value in backing a home win and are happy to do exactly that with maximum confidence. Monarcas score goals for fun at home, Toluca can’t keep them out and that leads us to believe that the hosts will run out comfortable 3-1 winners.