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Peterborough vs Plymouth Argyle Predictions

  • 15:00
  • Expired
  • ABAX Stadium
Peterborough
    Plymouth Argyle

      odds when tipped

      odds when tipped

      Tip Reasoning

      Darren Ferguson didn’t make a winning return to the Posh driving seat, but the new boss probably won’t have been too displeased with what he saw on Tuesday evening. Peterborough showed that they’re up for the fight when coming from behind twice to draw with Bristol Rovers on the road. Now back at ABAX Stadium, the top-six chasers will be looking regain the winning thread.

      Peterborough did find themselves behind not once but twice on Tuesday night, but they didn’t play too badly. Posh were very competitive, while they dominated the game with the ball and looked threatening in possession. It is now three matches since Posh won, but Darren Ferguson’s men have given themselves a solid platform from which to build now back on their own patch.

      Their form at home this season was surely one of the main reasons as to why Steve Evans was dismissed, though there have been occasions where Peterborough have flexed their muscles at ABAX Stadium. Their recent 2-1 win over Rochdale suggests that Ferguson’s side should do well against a Plymouth side that has struggled massively to keep things tight on the road.

      In fact, saying that Plymouth have struggled for defensive solidity on their travels is something of an understatement. The Pilgrims have kept just one clean sheet on their travels this season, are shipping an average of 1.73 goals per game, while they’ve surrendered an average of 2.09 expected goals, which tells us that teams have found it particularly easy to create chances against them. They have managed to compete more in the final third in recent times, though the fact that they’re now without a clean sheet in eight on the road tells us that their defensive problems are certainly not a thing of the past.

      Furthermore, when the pair met earlier in the season, Peterborough had absolutely no problem taking advantage of Plymouth’s dodgy rear-guard. On that occasion they created lots and won by five goals to one.

      Given Plymouth’s defensive woes on the road this season, this is an excellent opportunity for Darren Ferguson’s men to register their first win under their new boss. Posh showed plenty on Tuesday evening and can now build on that back at ABAX. Backing ‘Peterborough -1 Asian Handicap’ stands out. They may now have thrived at home this season, but with Plymouth boasting a woeful average expected goal difference of -1.10, Posh are backed to register a comfortable home win.

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