Sassuolo vs Brescia Predictions

• Sassuolo have won all their meetings at home to the bottom seven this season.
• Brescia have lost 17 times in 25 games this term.
• The visitors have failed to win their last 10 matches (D3 L7).
• 92% of Sassuolo’s home games have seen over 2.5 goals.

Gap Grows for Brescia

Brescia’s top-flight position is hanging by a thread, with the club now seven points shy of safety having played a game more than 17th-placed Sampdoria.

They head to Sassuolo this weekend in a crunch tie which could push them further towards the drop. While that will focus minds, they have been outclassed all season by top-flight rivals.

Can Sassuolo Finish Strongly?

As for Sassuolo, this clash is an opportunity. The Neroverdi have won three of their last five games, including two wins in three at home. However, they have just the 13th-best home record in the division after a tough run of games at the MAPEI.

Sassuolo have a respectable five wins in 12 at home, given they’ve played eight of the 11 sides above them, including five of the top six. Meanwhile, they have won three from three at home to the bottom seven, with four more to come in their final seven games, including this meeting with second-bottom Brescia.

Trouble for Visitors

Brescia have lost 67% of their away trips in Serie A this season, while the visitors have been beaten 17 times in 25 matches this term. Only Cagliari (11) are on a longer active winless streak in Serie A than Brescia (10); the Lombardi have drawn three and suffered seven defeats in this run. While Cagliari’s early form has acted as a cushion for them, the visitors don’t have the same luxury.

Even when the visitors are good, they have a habit of throwing results away. Brescia have dropped the most points (27) from winning positions of any team in the top five European Leagues this season, including 18 in their last nine matches. With Sassuolo improving, we are backing the hosts to earn another victory here. A Sassuolo win is our first tip in this clash.

The MAPEI has been the ground to watch in terms of goals this campaign, with a huge 92% of Sassuolo’s games here seeing over 2.5 goals. In 83% of the games here, both teams have scored. Given Brescia have found the net in 75% of their trips and after seeing the visitors lose 2-1 on three occasions away from home, we’re backing a 2-1 victory for Sassuolo on Monday.