Barnet vs Harrogate Town Predictions
- 19:45
- Expired
- The Hive Stadium
Barnet vs Harrogate Town Predictions
Anybody that hoped Barnet would make a swift return to the Football League has been well and truly disappointed this season, as the Bees have failed to perform since stepping down to the National League. As things stands, Tuesday’s hosts, who’re now without a win in four, currently sit just four points above the drop-zone. Improvement is required.
When Barnet were last in action in the National League, they were unlucky. Despite drawing 1-1 at home against Halifax, Darren Currie’s men performed well, so much so that they really ought to have come away with all three points, or at least that’s what their expected goal difference of +2.07 suggests. Going forward, they created plenty, while they didn’t give much away. Frankly, a repeat performance would likely see the hosts regain the winning thread, though delivering something of a similar level won’t be easy against a very strong Harrogate side, who’re currently 24 points ahead of Barnet in the table.
One of Barnet’s big problems this season has been failing to make their home games pay. Tuesday’s hosts currently have the fourth worst home record in the entire division; they’ve lost more than they’ve won at The Hive, while they’ve also conceded more than they’ve scored. Moreover, their home record against teams that currently reside in the top ten makes for poor reading, as they’ve lost five, drawn one and won one.
It’s not as if the hosts have been all over the shop defensively or have given away an abundance of chances on a regular basis, as their current average of 1.14 expected goals against suggests, but they’ve failed to really hurt teams going forward. Barnet average a poor 1.27 expected goals for at home this season, while they’ve scored an average of just 1.12.
Unlike their hosts, Harrogate have made a very positive attacking impression this season, even on their travels. Away from home, Tuesday’s visitors have scored an average of 1.78 goals, while they also boast a decent average of 1.58 expected goals for. More importantly their attacking efforts have easily outweighed what they’ve given away at the back, as they currently boast an average goal difference of +0.56 on the road.
What’s more, Harrogate come into this match having won each of their last three on the road. A repeat of their most recent travelling effort, whereby they battered Braintree by four goals to nil, achieving an expected goal difference of +3.04 would surely see them get a positive result on Tuesday evening.
At the prices, backing the visitors, who currently sit second in the overall expected goals for table, to prove that the league table is right makes plenty of sense. Harrogate’s recent away-day efforts have been more pleasing than Barnet’s efforts at home, while the visitors simply have more to offer going forward. On this basis, it’s easy to feel that they ought to be warmer favourites and thus a small bet on them to win is the way to go.
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