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Basel vs FC Thun Predictions

  • 15:00
  • Expired
  • St. Jakob-Park
Basel
Thun

odds when tipped

odds when tipped

Basel vs Thun Predictions

It’s been anything but a vintage season for Basel, who currently trail Young Boys by 19 point in a title race that has been over for a long time. However, Sunday’s hosts have won each of their last two league matches, so they should fancy themselves to get the better of a Thun side that is currently four points behind them in the table.

Things haven’t quite gone to plan for Sunday’s hosts this season, but they do come into this match off the back of some encouraging performances. They offered lots going forward when beating Xamax last time out, while much of the same can be said for their last four or five games.

Defending has often been what has cost Basel during the current campaign, though they have started to give less away, especially at home. Last time out, they kept out Sion, while they’ve now conceded just one goal in their last three at home and have conceded expected-goals against numbers of 0.83, 1.24 and 0.7 during that time. Combine this with the fact that they’ve been doing well offensively and it’s easy to feel positive about their chances ahead of this match.

However, Basel have struggled in the big games this season. They’ve consistently come up short against Young Boys, while they’ve also struggled against Sunday’s opponents, not once, but twice.

When the teams met at this venue earlier in the campaign, Thun defended well, restricted Basel to few scoring opportunities and were good value for their 1-1 draw. Moreover, when the pair faced each other at Stockhorn Arena, it was Thun who were the better side, as they created more, gave away less and deservedly came out on top. Much like they’ve done against Young Boys this season, Basel found it tough to match their opponents in terms of attacking threat. Thun have twice bettered Basel in terms of expected goals this season, which bodes well for the visitors ahead of this match.

Aside from their antics against Basel, Thun have done reasonably well on the road. They come here having won each of their last two away matches, while they currently boast both a positive goal difference and a positive average expected goal difference on their travels.

In the betting, Basel come into this match as big favourites, though it’s tough to agree with that. With home advantage, the hosts should be favourites, though their current odds-on price-tag seems excessive, especially since they’ve twice struggled against Thun this season. In truth, Basel’s overall home efforts are not too dissimilar than Thun’s efforts on the road, so it’s easy to feel that there’s far less between the teams than the current odds suggest. Thun have proved that they can frustrate Sunday’s hosts on more than one occasion this season, which means that it’s very tough to avoid siding with them ahead of this match. Quite simply, backing the visitors to gain a positive result against Basel for the third time this term is a must as represents excellent value.

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