Belenenses vs Moreirense Predictions

• Under 2.5 goals have been scored in four of the last six meetings between these two clubs.
• Under 2.5 goals have been scored in each of Moreirense’s last six matches.
• Belenenses have lost three of their last four league games.

Belenenses lost 5-0 away at the champions-elect Porto on Sunday and now sit 4pts above the drop zone heading into the final four games of the campaign. Moreirense extended their unbeaten run to four matches as they played out a goalless draw at home to high-flying Sporting.

Our prediction for under 2.5 goals to be scored in Friday’s clash carries plenty of weight. Four of the last seven encounters between Belenenses and Moreirense have produced under 2.5 goals and three of the hosts’ and each of the visitors’ last six league games have also seen fewer than three goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 73% of Belenenses’ home games and Moreirense’s away games so far this season, so you can see why we’re expecting a low-scoring affair on Friday. As for a final scoreline, we’re predicting a 1-0 win for Moreirense as the visitors score an average of 1.13 goals per away game and the hosts only score ana average of 0.80 goals per home game.

Belenenses have failed to score in 40% of their home matches this season and have lost seven of their 15 home games. Having failed to win any of their last five matches, losing three and drawing two, you can see why we have backed Belenenses to suffer another defeat this weekend.

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