Besiktas vs Trabzonspor Predictions

It hasn’t been the best week for Besiktas, who first failed to win in the league last Friday, while they lost on their own patch against Malmo in the Europa League on Thursday evening. That defeat means that Besiktas will have no part to play in the knockout rounds come February. That will allow them to focus on the league, though as they’re eight points behind league leaders Basaksehir, their title chances already look slim.

Fortunately for the hosts, their performances at home in the league have been pleasing, so Şenol Güneş’ men ought to be confident ahead of this fixture. On the face of it, having lost two of their seven home matches, Besiktas haven’t done too well at home, which in a way is true, though from a performance point of view, they’ve looked strong.

At Vodafone Park, Sunday’s hosts have scored a pleasing 14 goals, scoring at least twice in five out of seven, while they’re averaging a very pleasing 2.29 expected goals for, which tells us that they’re creating a lot of chances. Such a number also tells us that based on what they’ve created, that they probably should’ve scored even more goals than they have in front of their own fans. At times, Besiktas have found it tough to keep teams at bay, as they’ve kept just two clean sheets on their own patch, though the fact that they’re surrendering an average of 1.11 expected goal suggests that they’ve not given too much away, while that figure also suggests that the hosts have created far more than they’ve conceded when it comes to scoring opportunities.

Speaking of not giving much away, the visitors haven’t done too badly on their travels, as they’re giving up just 1.09 expected goals for. In terms of goals, they’ve shipped more, but if they’ve been a bit unlucky to keep just one clean sheet. However, they’ve got problems at the other end. Only three times have the visitors clocked more than 1.0 expected goals, while they’ve now failed to score in three out of seven on the road, while they’ve been unable to score in both of their away games against teams that currently reside in the top five, as Besiktas do.

Both Besiktas and Trabzonspor have looked reasonable from a defensive point of view, but there’s a big difference in what the hosts have done offensively at home and what the visitors have done offensively on their travels.

Quite simply, Besiktas have more than enough forward quality to see off a visiting team that has struggled to get going in the final third away from home. The bet that stands out is ‘Besiktas to Win & Over 1.5 Goals’. Only twice have the hosts failed to score more than once at Vodafone Park and with their very high average of 2.29 expected goals for, they’re fancied to come out on top in good fashion.