1
bet365 Square Logo

Coventry vs Burton Albion Predictions

  • 19:45
  • Expired
  • Ricoh Arena
Coventry
    Burton Albion

      odds when tipped

      odds when tipped

      Coventry vs Burton Albion Predictions

      When they went away to Kenilworth Road and held league leaders Luton to a draw a fortnight ago, Coventry proved that they’re no pushovers, while they continued to look like a good side when beating Accrington last time out. Mark Robins’ men are now without defeat in five, three of which they’ve won. Such a run of form means that the play-offs are not out of reach as far as the Sky Blues are concerned.

      Coventry were a tad fortunate to hold Luton to a draw, though they competed far better against the big boys than most teams at this level have done, while their performances either side of their trip to Kenilworth Road have been particularly encouraging, especially from a defensive point of view. The Sky Blues come into this match have conceded just one goal in their last four league matches, while they’ve conceded very respectable expected-goals against numbers of 0.35, 1.7, 0.34 and 0.83.

      Last time out, Coventry hardly looked menacing at Crown Ground, but they were clinical, while they kept things very, very tight, allowing Accrington just two shots on target and 0.35 expected goals for. A repeat of that defensive effort against Burton on Friday would certainly make the Sky Blues tough to beat.

      Having mustered expected goals for numbers of just 0.52 and 0.48, Coventry haven’t been great going forward in their last couple of matches, though they had previously looked a useful side in the final third. Prior to their match against Luton, Mark Robins’ men posted consecutive expected-goals for numbers of 2.32, 2.12, 1.73, 1.42 and 1.76, so they’re certainly capable of hurting teams.

      Interestingly, Coventry’s last home match came against Walsall, while Burton’s last match was also against the Saddlers. When the Sky Blues welcomed Walsall to Ricoh Arena, they scored three goals conceded none, clocked 2.32 expected goals for and conceded just 0.34. In contrast, Burton struggled to assert themselves when drawing 0-0 with the same opponents last time out, as they recorded just 0.85 expected goals for and conceded 0.75.

      Struggling to create is becoming a bit of problem for Nigel Clough’s men. Burton have scored just a single goal in their last four in League One, while they’re now without a goal in three. They’re no mugs at the other end and have conceded just twice during that time, but their offensive numbers are not too pleasing. Furthermore, the Brewers have posted expected-goals for figures of 1.05, 0.57, 0.93 and 0.93 in their last four on the road. They’ve only failed to score in one of those four, though they’ll soon struggle unless they improve their creative efforts.

      From a betting point of view, it’s very easy to make a case for the hosts at the current prices. Not only are Coventry playing well at present, but they come into this fixture off the back of some encouraging results, while Burton have been struggling a tad. Add in the fact that the Sky Blues currently boast an average expected goal difference of +0.46, compared to Burton’s of -0.23 on the road, and it’s tough to feel that a bet on a home win represents anything other than a slice of value.

      Featured Matches

      See All

      Today's Tips

      See All