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Derby vs Cardiff Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

TV
England Championship | Pride Park | 13th September
Derby badge
Derby
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
KO 19:45
Cardiff badge
Cardiff
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Derby vs Cardiff predictions ahead of this weekend’s clash in the Championship. Can the Rams secure all three points when they host Cardiff on Friday? Read on for our match preview and free betting tips.

Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Draw @ 5/2

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Draw 1-1 @ 6/1

Reason For Derby vs Cardiff Betting Tips

The Championship weekend kicks off at Pride Park on Friday night, as Derby look to end a poor string of results. The Rams are coming under increasing pressure after recent weeks, while some think that Phillip Cocu will be out the door before Wayne Rooney arrives in January. Now Derby face a must-win clash, but they are taking on recently relegated opposition. Following a tough return to the second tier, Cardiff know they need to do better. However, will Neil Warnock’s men bounce back in this visit to Derby?

The hosts have gone five games without a win, which has left them in a worrying position. Their hopes of making the playoffs sparked when they won their opener and signed Rooney, but they have seen confidence fade in the following weeks. It hasn’t been an easy transition for Cocu, who hasn’t exactly silenced the doubters, who predicted that he needed to swot up on his knowledge of the second tier. Will the Dutchman be able to work out this Cardiff side?

The visitors have struggled themselves, with little about their opening six pointing to a promotion challenge from the Bluebirds. Cardiff have won just twice in their first six games, while they went out of the EFL Cup to Luton in a 3-0 home loss. The Welsh side are likely to be low on confidence, having conceded far more goals than we expected from this defence under Warnock.

Cardiff are winless in all three away games following their 0-0 draw at Blackburn last time out. Meanwhile, Derby have failed to win any of their home games so far, which doesn’t suggest that this will be a classic. The pair haven’t exactly astonished up front, with both sides scoring twice in their respective home and away games to date. We’re likely to see a low scoring tie, with two poor sides unlikely to be split on current form.

Overall, we struggle to separate these two sides. Their form of late has been poor, while we can’t see either team turning that around. Cardiff head here without an away win all season, while we expect that to continue given the gap in quality between their home and away performances. Meanwhile, Derby’s struggles at home make the hosts tough to back. The lack of cutting edge or confidence on either side has us expecting that neither will win this one. With Cardiff drawing two of their last three, we are backing these two to share the points. We’re also going with a 1-1 draw, given that both teams have scored in three of Derby’s last four games.

Predicted Lineups

Line ups are predicted by our Team News Analysts
Derby
4-3-3
Cardiff
4-2-3-1
Predicted Starting XI's
Derby
Cardiff
Roos
Smithies
Lowe
Peltier
Keogh
Morrison
Bielik
Flint
Malone
Bennett
Knight
Bacuna
Huddlestone
Ralls
Dowell
Whyte
Marriott
Tomlin
Waghorn
Murphy
Lawrence
Glatzel
Subs
Derby
Cardiff
Clarke
Bogle
Davies
Day
Hamer
Hoilett
Holmes
Madine
Martin
Mendez-Laing
Paterson
Paterson
Shinnie
Vassell
Wisdom
Vaulks
Ward
Doubtful
Derby
Cardiff
Bennett (Injured)
Forsyth (Injured)
Jozefzoon (Injured)
Malone (Injured)
Unavailable
Derby
Cardiff
Anya (Injured)
Bamba (Injured)
Bogle (Injured)
Etheridge (Injured)
Buchanan (Injured)
Pack (Injured)
Evans (Injured)
Richards (Injured)

Next Fixtures To Kick Off

Form

Form Summary

Derby badge Cardiff badge
Overall
PWDL
6132
Home
3021
Away
3111
Overall
PWDL
6222
Home
3210
Away
3012

Recent Competition Form

Derby badge Cardiff badge
3-0 v Brentford (A)
L
1-1 v Fulham (H)
D
1-1 v West Bromwich Albion (H)
D
0-0 v Blackburn Rovers (A)
D
1-2 v Bristol City (H)
L
2-1 v Huddersfield Town (H)
W
2-2 v Stoke City (A)
D
3-0 v Reading (A)
L
0-0 v Swansea City (H)
D
2-1 v Luton Town (H)
W
1-2 v Huddersfield Town (A)
W
3-2 v Wigan Athletic (A)
L
6Goals Scored7
9Goals Conceded9
4/6 (67%)Over 2.5 Goals4/6 (67%)
4/6 (67%)Both Teams Scored4/6 (67%)
Derby badge Cardiff badge
1-1 v West Bromwich Albion (H)
D
1-1 v Fulham (H)
D
1-2 v Bristol City (H)
L
2-1 v Huddersfield Town (H)
W
0-0 v Swansea City (H)
D
2-1 v Luton Town (H)
W
2Goals Scored5
3Goals Conceded3
1/3 (33%)Over 2.5 Goals2/3 (67%)
2/3 (67%)Both Teams Scored3/3 (100%)
Derby badge Cardiff badge
3-0 v Brentford (A)
L
0-0 v Blackburn Rovers (A)
D
2-2 v Stoke City (A)
D
3-0 v Reading (A)
L
1-2 v Huddersfield Town (A)
W
3-2 v Wigan Athletic (A)
L
4Goals Scored2
6Goals Conceded6
3/3 (100%)Over 2.5 Goals2/3 (67%)
2/3 (67%)Both Teams Scored1/3 (33%)
Derby badge Cardiff badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Derby badge Cardiff badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Derby badge Cardiff badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Derby badge Cardiff badge
3-0 v Brentford (A)
L
1-1 v Fulham (H)
D
1-1 v West Bromwich Albion (H)
D
0-0 v Blackburn Rovers (A)
D
1-2 v Bristol City (H)
L
2-1 v Huddersfield Town (H)
W
2-2 v Stoke City (A)
D
3-0 v Reading (A)
L
0-0 v Swansea City (H)
D
2-1 v Luton Town (H)
W
4Goals Scored5
8Goals Conceded6
3/5 (60%)Over 2.5 Goals3/5 (60%)
3/5 (60%)Both Teams Scored3/5 (60%)
Derby badge Cardiff badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Derby badge Cardiff badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)

H2H

Derby badge
WonDrawnWon
442
Cardiff badge
17
Goals Scored
11
Over 2.5 Goals 4/10 (40%)
Both Teams To Score 6/10 (60%)
Previous Meetings (Last 10)
24.04.18 Derby County Derby County badge 3-1 Cardiff City badge Cardiff City
30.09.17 Cardiff City Cardiff City badge 0-0 Derby County badge Derby County
14.02.17 Derby County Derby County badge 3-4 Cardiff City badge Cardiff City
27.09.16 Cardiff City Cardiff City badge 0-2 Derby County badge Derby County
02.04.16 Cardiff City Cardiff City badge 2-1 Derby County badge Derby County
21.11.15 Derby County Derby County badge 2-0 Cardiff City badge Cardiff City
31.01.15 Cardiff City Cardiff City badge 0-2 Derby County badge Derby County
20.09.14 Derby County Derby County badge 2-2 Cardiff City badge Cardiff City
05.03.13 Cardiff City Cardiff City badge 1-1 Derby County badge Derby County
27.11.12 Derby County Derby County badge 1-1 Cardiff City badge Cardiff City

Tables

League Table

PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Swansea City6510124+816
2Charlton Athletic6420115+614
3Leeds United6411103+713
4West Bromwich Albion6330107+312
5Bristol City6321118+311
6Fulham6312105+510
7Preston North End6312117+410
8Queens Park Rangers631299010
9Birmingham City631268-210
10Nottingham Forest623196+39
11Sheffield Wednesday630386+29
12Millwall623157-29
13Cardiff City622279-28
14Brentford621354+17
15Luton Town6213101007
16Reading62138807
17Blackburn Rovers621357-27
18Middlesbrough613278-16
19Derby County613269-36
20Hull City612369-35
21Barnsley612349-55
22Wigan Athletic6114411-74
23Huddersfield Town6015511-61
24Stoke City6015615-91
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Preston North End330082+69
2Swansea City330083+59
3Charlton Athletic321052+37
3Birmingham City321052+37
4Cardiff City321053+27
5Millwall321031+27
6Fulham320172+56
7Sheffield Wednesday320142+26
8West Bromwich Albion312054+15
9Nottingham Forest311153+24
10Brentford311142+24
11Luton Town31116604
12Queens Park Rangers31115504
12Bristol City31115504
13Leeds United31112204
13Middlesbrough31112204
13Blackburn Rovers31112204
14Barnsley311145-14
15Wigan Athletic311134-14
16Reading310245-13
17Hull City310235-23
18Derby County302123-12
19Stoke City301237-41
20Huddersfield Town300326-40
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Leeds United330081+79
2Bristol City321063+37
2Charlton Athletic321063+37
3Swansea City321041+37
4West Bromwich Albion321053+27
5Queens Park Rangers32014406
6Nottingham Forest312043+15
7Reading311143+14
8Fulham31113304
9Derby County311146-24
10Sheffield Wednesday31024403
10Luton Town31024403
11Brentford310212-13
12Blackburn Rovers310235-23
13Birmingham City310216-53
14Middlesbrough302156-12
15Hull City302134-12
16Millwall302126-42
17Huddersfield Town301235-21
17Preston North End301235-21
18Cardiff City301226-41
19Barnsley301204-41
20Stoke City300338-50
21Wigan Athletic300317-60

Scores Vs Opponents

PosTeamHomeAway
1Swansea City0-08th Feb
2Charlton Athletic29th Dec19th Oct
3Leeds United25th Apr21st Sep
4West Bromwich Albion1-110th Apr
5Bristol City1-212th Feb
6Fulham22nd Feb26th Nov
7Preston North End23rd Nov21st Mar
8Queens Park Rangers30th Nov25th Feb
9Birmingham City28th Sep2nd May
10Nottingham Forest4th Apr9th Nov
11Sheffield Wednesday11th Dec29th Feb
12Millwall14th Dec14th Mar
13Cardiff City13th Sep18th Apr
14Brentford13th Apr3-0
15Luton Town5th Oct25th Jan
16Reading17th Mar21st Dec
17Blackburn Rovers7th Mar7th Dec
18Middlesbrough2nd Nov11th Jan
19Derby CountyN/AN/A
20Hull City18th Jan26th Oct
21Barnsley1st Jan2nd Oct
22Wigan Athletic23rd Oct26th Dec
23Huddersfield Town15th Feb1-2
24Stoke City1st Feb2-2
PosTeamHomeAway
1Swansea City11th Jan27th Oct
2Charlton Athletic21st Mar23rd Nov
3Leeds United15th Mar14th Dec
4West Bromwich Albion25th Jan5th Oct
5Bristol City9th Nov4th Apr
6Fulham1-114th Apr
7Preston North End21st Dec18th Mar
8Queens Park Rangers2nd Oct1st Jan
9Birmingham City2nd Nov18th Jan
10Nottingham Forest25th Feb30th Nov
11Sheffield Wednesday18th Oct29th Dec
12Millwall26th Dec22nd Oct
13Cardiff CityN/AN/A
14Brentford29th Feb11th Dec
15Luton Town2-18th Feb
16Reading31st Jan3-0
17Blackburn Rovers10th Apr0-0
18Middlesbrough21st Sep25th Apr
19Derby County18th Apr13th Sep
20Hull City2nd May28th Sep
21Barnsley7th Dec7th Mar
22Wigan Athletic15th Feb3-2
23Huddersfield Town2-112th Feb
24Stoke City26th Nov22nd Feb

Stats

Derby vs Cardiff Stats

Powered by
  • Derby have lost just one of their last five home league games against Cardiff (W2 D2 L1), losing 3-4 in February 2017 under Steve McClaren.
  • Cardiff City have won just two of their last 10 Championship meetings with Derby (W2 D4 L4).
  • Derby have lost their last two matches in all competitions 3-0 against Nottingham Forest and Brentford – the Rams haven’t lost three consecutive games by 3+ goals since November 1946.
  • Cardiff have completed just 916 short passes in the Championship this season – only Millwall have completed fewer (805).
  • Derby have won none of their last four home games in all competitions (W0 D2 L2), last enduring a longer run under Nigel Pearson in August and September 2016 (six games).
  • Cardiff’s Josh Murphy has been involved in four of their last eight league goals (1 goal, 3 assists).

How we calculate our stats

Our stats are based on games this season. Games played this season: 12
(6 by Derby) and (6 by Cardiff)

Goals

Derby badge Cardiff badge
67%
BTTS (%)
67%
83%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
83%
83%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
83%
67%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
67%
17%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
17%
1
Average Goals For
1.17
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
17%
Cleansheet (%)
17%
33%
Failed to Score (%)
33%
Derby badge Cardiff badge
67%
BTTS (%)
100%
67%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
100%
67%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
100%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
67%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0.67
Average Goals For
1.67
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
33%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
33%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Derby badge Cardiff badge
67%
BTTS (%)
33%
100%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
67%
100%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
67%
100%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
67%
33%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
33%
1.33
Average Goals For
0.67
2
Average Goals Conceded
2
0%
Cleansheet (%)
33%
33%
Failed to Score (%)
67%
Derby badge Cardiff badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Derby badge Cardiff badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Derby badge Cardiff badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Derby badge Cardiff badge
80%
BTTS (%)
60%
80%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
80%
80%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
80%
20%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
20%
1.2
Average Goals For
1.2
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
20%
Cleansheet (%)
20%
20%
Failed to Score (%)
40%
Derby badge Cardiff badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Derby badge Cardiff badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%

Goalscorers

Derby badge Cardiff badge
Top Goalscorers
Martyn Waghorn
3
2
Joe Ralls
Tom Lawrence
2
1
Josh Murphy
Jack Marriott
1
1
Omar Bogle
First Goalscorers
Martyn Waghorn
2
2
Joe Ralls
Tom Lawrence
1
1
Josh Murphy

Cards & Corners

Derby badge Cardiff badge
2
Average Cards For
2
Player Cards
Tom Lawrence
4
2
Josh Murphy
Martyn Waghorn
1
2
Joe Bennett
Scott Malone
1
2
Leandro Bacuna
5
Average Corners For
5
6
Average Corners Against
5

Goal Margins

Derby badge Cardiff badge
Total1234+
W1000
L1001
Total1234+
W2000
L1001
Home1234+
W0000
L1000
Home1234+
W2000
L0000
Away1234+
W1000
L0001
Away1234+
W0000
L1001

Goal Timings

Derby badge Cardiff badge

First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
Derby badge Cardiff badge

Home First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Home Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
Derby badge Cardiff badge

Away First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Away Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
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Odds

BookieHome WinDrawAway WinOffer
BookieYesNoOffer
BookieHome & YesAway & YesOffer
BookieUnder 0.5Over 0.5Under 1.5Over 1.5Under 2.5Over 2.5Under 3.5Over 3.5Under 4.5Over 4.5Under 5.5Over 5.5Under 6.5Over 6.5Under 7.5Over 7.5Under 8.5Over 8.5Under 9.5Over 9.5Offer
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Derby badge
0
Cardiff badge
0
BookieOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOffer
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
N/A
N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
N/A
BookieHome -1Away +1Home -2Away +2Home -3Away +3Away -1Home +1Away -2Home +2Away -3Home +3Offer
N/A N/A
N/A N/A N/A N/A
N/A N/A N/A N/A

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