FC Thun vs Young Boys Predictions

It’s been a very good campaign for Thun, who’re currently sat in a lofty third position and are just two points behind Basel in second place. They’re massive 22 points behind Sunday’s opponents, though that isn’t likely to bother Marc Schneider’s men, who’d be delighted with a second-place finish, especially since they finished the last campaign in seventh.

Thun have got every reason to be pleased with themselves; they’ve improved massively on what they achieved last season, while they’ve often put attacking football to good use. Last time out away against Lugano, Sunday’s hosts scored three goals and clocked a very impressive 3.15 expected goals for. Repeating such efforts against the likes of Young Boys will be tough, but such a performance will have filled the hosts with confidence ahead of this big game.

From a defensive point of view, even at home, Thun haven’t been the tightest. As is often the case when a team adopts an attacking approach, Thun have conceded more often than not. In fact, Schneider’s men have been breached in seven of their nine home matches this season. Such a record isn’t great, but they have at least offered a lot more going forward than they’ve given away at the back, which is why they’ve lost just once at Stockhorn Arena. They’re averaging 2.11 goals for at home, while they’re also averaging a pleasing 1.73 expected goals for.

Similarly, Young Boys have done very well on the road. The visitors come into this match having avoided defeat in each of their nine away games this season, while they’ve won eight of those nine. They’ve scored a staggering average of 3.11 goals on their travels and are averaging a pleasing 1.77 expected goals for. The latter of those two numbers does suggest that they’re overperforming a tad in front of goal, but it also shows that they’ve offered plenty of creativity.

When Young Boys visited this venue earlier in the season, they walked away with a 1-4 victory. On that basis, it’s easy to dismiss the hosts, though we should not be too hasty. The pair met at Stade de Suisse back in December and although Thun lost, they acquitted themselves well by scoring two goals. If playing at home helps them to do that little bit more, then they could easily do well on Sunday.

From a betting point of view, ‘Thun to Score Over 1.5 Goals’ stands out. For all Young Boys have been by far and away the best side in the Swiss Super League this season, they’ve not exactly been infallible at the back. For starters, they conceded twice against Sunday’s opponents in December, while they’ve also shipped two goals away against the likes of St. Gallen, Zurich and Luzern, none of whom have been as impressive as Thun this season. Add in the fact that Thun have scored at least twice in 67% of their home games and the fact that they’re averaging a pleasing 1.73 expected goals for and a bet on the hosts to notch twice makes plenty of appeal at the current prices.