Frosinone vs Inter Milan Predictions

Inter Milan come into this clash moving back towards their best, after holding off Atalanta in last weekend’s big top four showdown. The Nerazzurri are aiming to keep their grip on third, as they currently sit five points clear of fourth and fifth. Their bid to wrap up Champions League football as quickly as possible continues on Sunday, as they make the trip to Frosinone. However, will they come up against some resistance when they clash with a side who are just gaining form themselves?

Frosinone have picked up back to back wins coming into this game, after their 1-0 success at Fiorentina last time out. The hosts are still seven points off safety despite that mini-revival, but they aren’t quite down yet. A shock result against Inter could send them into the fight for safety, but that’s a tall order for a side who have only just won their first home game of the season. The strugglers have lost nine of 15 matches at this ground this term, so they may not be up to this particular challenge.

History bodes well for the Nerazzurri going into this clash. Among opponents against which Frosinone have lost all of their Serie A meetings, Inter are the only one that Frosinone are yet to score a goal against (three defeats and zero goals). That should continue here, with the visitors conceding just 25 times in 31 league games. They are meeting the side with Serie A’s worst home record, with the hosts hitting only 12 goals in front of their own fans. As Inter look to avoid any more last-day drama in their top four chase, this is the perfect fixture for them.

It’s not just the hosts’ lack of goals that should concern them, as they’ve conceded in 87% of their home games this season. They have conceded 30 times across their 15 home matches, while memories of their 3-0 loss at the hands of Inter earlier this season should remain. Overall, the Nerazzurri have scored eight times in their three Serie A wins over Frosinone, so we see the visitors racking up the goals once again.

Inter have scored 11 times across their last four away trips, which has seen them get their top four bid back on track. They’ve got to follow up that scoring form with a comfortable win. The hosts have been nowhere near the top sides they’ve faced so far, losing 21-0 in meetings with the current top four. They have conceded far too many against the elite, so over 1.5 Inter goals looks like value to us.