Mexico vs Sweden Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews
Mexico vs Sweden predictions for Wednesday’s FIFA World Cup 2018 group stage clash in Ekaterinburg. Mexico just need a point to secure the top spot in their World Cup group when they face a Sweden side needing a win. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Reason For Mexico vs Sweden Betting Tips
Not many tipped Mexico as dark horses to do well this World Cup, and even less predicted that they would win their group over reigning champions Germany. However, their swift counter attacking play has surprised everyone, especially Germany.
They opened with the toughest game of the group stages as they faced Germany, but they defended incredibly well throughout and launched counter after counter to put the Germans under massive pressure. This paid off in the 35th minute when Javier Hernandez’ pass and turn left Mats Hummels for dead, and the move was finished by the cool head of Hirving Lozano.
Mexico followed this up with an impressive 2-1 win over South Korea, and were actually far superior in that game than the scoreline suggests. Carlos Vela’s penalty opened the scoring before Hernandez notched his 50th international goal to make it 2-0. Son Heung-min pulled one back very late on with a stunning strike, but it was far too little, far too late.
The Central Americans certainly deserve their standing at the top of the group, and they know that a point is enough to secure that position here. Sweden, however, need a victory to stand a chance of qualification.
So far Sweden have been very poor going forward, although they were unlucky to lose the game so late on against Germany. Toni Kroos’ striker won the game for the ten men of Germany on Saturday, but Sweden brought it on themselves after sitting back incredibly deep for the entirety of the second half.
They will have to be more adventurous here though, and that could play right into Mexico’s hands. They have been emphatic on the counter attack so far, and with Sweden pushing up, it will leave them open to some of these devastatingly quick counters. Defensively they have been committed to the extreme, so backing another Mexico win here looks a great choice along with a 2-0 correct score predictions.
We’re also backing Hirving Lozano to find the net here. The young PSV winger scored against Germany and had multiple opportunities to double his tally against South Korea, so backing him to finish one of these counter attacks off looks a good choice.
Mexico Predicted Lineup: Ochoa, Alvarez, Salcedo, Moreno, Gallardo, Guardado, Herrera, Layun, Vela, Lozano, Hernandez
Sweden Predicted Lineup: Olsen, Lustig, Lindelof, Granqvist, Augustinsson, Claesson, Larsson, Ekdal, Forsberg, Toivonen, Berg
Head to Head
Mexico have only lost one of their last five meetings with Sweden, but they haven't met in the World Cup since 1958. Sweden won that game 3-0.
Mexico Team News
Mexico manager Juan Carlos Osorio is expected to name the same starting eleven that beat South Korea.
Sweden Team News
Sweden, like their opponents, aren't expected to make any changes from the side that faced Germany on Saturday.
Next Fixtures To Kick Off
Mexico vs Sweden Stats
- Mexico have never won three consecutive matches at the World Cup and could become the first CONCACAF team to achieve this feat in World Cup history.
- Sweden’s defeat to Germany was their first in the group stage of the World Cup since 1990, when they lost 2-1 to Costa Rica.
- Mexico have lost just two of their last 19 World Cup group stage matches (W10 D7).
- Sweden have won only four of their last 13 World Cup games when they’ve scored first (D5 L4).
- Javier Hernandez’s goal in Mexico’s 2-0 win over South Korea was his fourth at the World Cup – only Luis Hernandez has scored as many for Mexico in World Cup history (also four).
- Sweden’s Ola Toivonen didn’t score in 23 matches for Toulouse in Ligue 1 in the 2017-18, failing with all 19 of his shots – at the 2018 World Cup, Toivonen has scored one goal from just two shots.
- Sweden registered just 24% possession in their 2-1 defeat to Germany, their lowest figure in a World Cup match since 1966.
Published: June 27, 2018
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