Moreirense vs Tondela Predictions

• Under 2.5 goals have been scored in four of the last six meetings between these two clubs.
• Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 56% of the hosts’ home matches and 62% of the visitors’ away trips.
• Tondela have lost five of their last seven matches in the Primeira Liga.

Moreirense will be looking for a response following their disappointing 6-1 defeat away at Porto last time out and anything but a win on the final day of the season could see them drop two places in the table. Tondela secured a crucial 1-0 win over Braga on Monday night and only need a draw on Sunday to ensure they remain in the Primeira Liga for another season.

Our prediction for under 2.5 goals being produced in Sunday’s clash carries plenty of weight. Four of the last six meetings between these two clubs have seen under 2.5 goals scored, as have six of Moreirense’s and four of Tondela’s last seven outings in the Primeira Liga. Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 56% of Moreirense’s home matches and 62% of Tondela’s away trips so far this season, so you can see why we’re expecting another tight and tense 90-minutes on Sunday.

In terms of a final scoreline, we’re predicting a 1-0 win for Moreirense who have had the better of Tondela in recent seasons. The hosts have won three, lost two and drawn two of their last seven matches against Tondela, beating their guests 2-0 in this very fixture last season. Moreirense score an average of 1.38 goals per home game and have kept clean sheets in 25% of their home matches, while Tondela concede an average of 1.31 goals per away game and have failed to score in half of their away games this season.

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