Shandong Luneng vs Guangzhou R and F Predictions

Shandong Luneng return to action on Sunday after a 2 week break as they take on Guangzhou R&F. Shandong enter this fixture in poor form having lost their last 3 consecutive league games in the China Super League and they will hope that the 2 week break will have rejuvenated their players. Guangzhou enter this fixture in mixed form, picking up 2 wins at home to bottom half sides but these are sandwiched between away losses to 13th, 1st and 5th, scoring just once in those 3 visits.

Li Xiaopeng’s side are generally very good at home, they have won six of their nine home games this season, recording one draw and just two losses. They score goals too, netting 17 goals on home turf this season at a rate of 1.89 per game. They have found the net in 8 of their 9 home games so far this season. At the other end however they do concede a few, seeing the ball hit their net on 10 occasions at a rate of 1.11 per game.

The visitors on the other hand have not been great on the road, they have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their 10 away league games this season. Their games have been highly entertaining scoring 15 and conceding 21, meaning their away games have averaged a whopping 3.6 goals per game.

Apart from a shock 2-0 loss at home to bottom of the league Shandong Luneng have only come unstuck against 1st and 3rd at home. Their record against teams outside the top 4 is excellent, they have beat 15th, 14th, 13th, 10th and 9th with 4 of their 5 wins being by a 2 goal margin. Guangzhou on the road have lost 4 of their last 5 and conceded 2 or more goals in their last 6 consecutive away league games.

We see this game being an entertaining affair, Shandong Luneng games see on average 2.95 goals per game, whilst Guangzhou R&F games see a huge 3.95 goals per game on average. Just 3 of their combined 42 league fixtures this season has seen less than 2 goals scored and we can’t see that changing here. The odds on goals here are really short so unless we are backing over 3.5 we won’t find any value, same can be said for home team goals. We can’t see Guangzhou R&F getting anything from this game so we shall be backing the home side on the -1 asian handicap market. We are also backing Luneng 3-1 on the correct score market.