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SPAL vs Cagliari Predictions

  • 17:30
  • Expired
  • Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL
Cagliari

Both Teams To Score

4/5odds when tipped
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Cagliari 2-1

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SPAL vs Cagliari Predictions

  • Spal have conceded nearly twice as many goals (20) as they’ve scored at home (11).
  • The hosts have lost 5 successive home matches.
  • Cagliari have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 15 league games.
  • The Sardinians have won 4 of their last 5 meetings with Spal.

Cagliari’s Woes Continue

The break and subsequent restart didn’t do much for Cagliari, even under new management. Walter Zenga had to wait three months for his first game as Cagliari boss, but his debut quickly went sour. The Sardinians lost 2-1 at 10-man Verona, which has left the club in crisis.

Cagliari have failed to win in their last eight games, which has sent them from Europa League contenders down into the bottom half. Zenga has to stop the rot before they slip down and join Spal in the bottom three. The hosts are in deep trouble themselves, with seemingly little chance to clearing the relegation zone in the run-in.

Little Hope for Spal

Spal had two incredible seasons in the top tier under Leonardo Semplici, but their bad start to the current campaign saw them dismiss the manager who brought incredible success to the club. Replacement Luigi Di Biagio hasn’t made the required impact, leaving the club seven-points shy of safety. That’s quite the mountain to climb in this final stretch of games.

The hosts were already struggling at their own ground before they lost their home support. Five consecutive losses at home has left them with the second-worst points return at home in Serie A this term. With only eight points from 12 at this ground, the big home results they need don’t seem forthcoming. Conceding nearly twice as many goals as they’ve scored here is a major part of the problem. They’ve managed only one home clean sheet, which is reflected in our predictions.

Two Dire Defences

These two sides share major issues at the back, with Cagliari failing to keep a clean sheet in their last 15 matches in the league. They’ve shipped a goal in 11 of their 13 away games this season, including each of their last eight. That defensive rot has taken away from the promising attack they’ve built up. Those two factors are now balancing each other out, with seven of Cagliari’s last nine away trips seeing both teams score.

Each of SPAL’s last four home goals in Serie A have been scored from set-pieces – Cagliari have already shipped five set-piece goals this season, while the Sardinians give away too many chances from corners and free-kicks. The hosts too pack a punch going forward, with Andrea Petagna scoring 11 times in their difficult campaign.

As a result, we are starting our predictions here with both teams to score, as these two poor defences have little stability about them. Meanwhile, Cagliari have won four of their five Serie A games against SPAL in the 21st century (D1), scoring exactly two goals in each of these matches. We’re siding with them to continue that streak, as Spal’s awful record should allow Zenga an opportunity to turn Cagliari’s fortunes around. A 2-1 away win is our pick here.


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