Vitoria Setubal vs FC Porto Predictions

• Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 89% of Vitoria Setubal’s home games.
• Both teams have scored in just 22% of Vitoria Setubal’s home games.
• Porto have a 78% win ration on the road.
• Vitoria Setubal have failed to score in 44% of their home games while Porto have netted in each of their away games.

The hosts have only scored 5-goals at home this season

Vitoria Setubal made it back to back league wins last weekend as they secured a 3-0 victory away at Tondela, while Porto claimed a 2-1 victory at home against Gil Vicente on Tuesday night. The visitors head into Saturday’s clash as the form favourites with four wins from their last six league and cup outings and sit six places and 19pts ahead of Vitoria Setubal in the Primeira Liga table.

The hosts haven’t won enough games at home for their liking this season but have only been beaten once, largely due to their excellent defensive record. Vitoria Setubal have only conceded 4-goals at home so far this season but have only managed to score 5 times in their own backyard, while Porto have scored 16-goals on the road alone and will be hoping their added scoring power comes into play this weekend.

Vitoria Setubal have only won three of their nine home games this season while Porto have secured six wins from nine away games, with the hosts averaging 1.56 points per home game and the visitors averaging 2.22 points per away game. Setubal score an average of 0.56 goals per home game, which is well below the league average but only concede 0.44 goals, while Porto score an average of 1.78 goals per away game and we have backed the visitors to claim a 1-0 win on Saturday.

Under 2.5 goals have been produced in 66% of Porto’s away games

A massive 89% of Vitoria Setubal’s home games have produced under 2.5 goals as have 66% of Porto’s away games, which is why we are expecting a low-scoring ninety minutes between the pair this weekend. Just 22% of Vitoria Setubal’s home games have seen both teams score, adding further weight to our prediction for a 1-0 away win.

While Setubal have kept a lot of clean sheets at home this season, Saturday’s hosts have failed to score in 44% of their home games while Porto have kept clean sheets in 33% of their away games and have scored in each of their games on the road this season. The visitors have also won-to-nil in 33% of their away games and will fancy their chances of another win and a clean sheet this weekend due to the home sides’ lack of scoring power.

We’re confident that Under 2.5 Goals will be produced in Saturday’s clash and we have predicted a final scoreline of 1-0 in favour of Porto. The visitors have an excellent record against Saturday’s hosts, winning 47 of the duos’ last 52 meetings and not losing a single game during that period. Porto have plenty of goals in them and while they are bound to find the hosts’ defence tough to break down, Setubal don’t score many goals which means one goal should be enough to claim all 3pts.