Formula 1 British Grand Prix Betting Tips and Predictions

Silverstone Circuit, United Kingdom
Sunday 14th July 2019 to Sunday 14th July 2019

Formula 1 British Grand Prix Betting Tips and Predictions for the 70th championship race held in Great Britain. Hosting the inaugural FIA World Championship of Drivers race in 1950, Great Britain has always been an integral part of the F1 calendar. Donned “Home Of British Motor Racing”, Silverstone will host its 53rd British Grand Prix, with continued speculation that the race will fall off the calendar at some stage in the near future.

Track Characteristics

Silverstone is a 5.89km circuit and is one of the longest on the current Formula 1 calendar, with eighteen corners for the drivers to negotiate. With 65% of the lap at full throttle, it’s one of the fastest tracks on the calendar and creates some brilliant racing with three straights throughout the lap. Built on an old airfield, there are very little elevation changes either.

There are three DRS detection zones, which allow the drivers to open up the flap on their rear-wing to reduce drag, and give them faster top speeds down the straights. The DRS zones will be Wellington, National, and Hangar straights, which should promote plenty of overtaking.

Weather Forecast

The British Grand Prix can be extremely unpredictable in terms of weather and rain has a massive bearing on the races. With it being such a big circuit, it can be raining on one side of the circuit and not on the other, which can create treacherous conditions for the drivers and makes the decision to switch onto wet tyres all the more difficult.

If the early forecasts are to be believed, the weather shouldn’t have a bearing on the race in terms of rain, with sunny and overcast conditions expected for the entire weekend.

2018 British Grand Prix Result

1st Vettel, Ferrari (1:27:29.784), 2nd Hamilton, Mercedes (+2.264), 3rd Raikkonen, Ferrari (+3.652)

Team By Team Analysis

Mercedes

This has been a very happy hunting ground for Mercedes in recent years, though much of that has been due to the massive power advantage they held on Ferrari at the beginning of the Hybrid Era that started in 2014. Lewis Hamilton has a massive affinity for the race, winning it five times, including all the races from 2014 to 2017. He’s been having an outstanding season, and such is his and Mercedes dominance, that he’s won six of the nine races, only starting on pole three times.

Valterri Bottas was never really a factor in 2018, being the only driver in the top three teams to not win a race. He’s put up sterner resistance this year to Hamilton and has won two races, though that resistance has started to show cracks in recent races. He’s been comprehensively out-raced by Hamilton in recent rounds, beaten 50 seconds at the Candian Grand Prix and finishing 18 seconds behind in France. Simply put, Bottas MUST bounce back at Silverstone.

Although beaten comprehensively in Austria, that track has rarely suited their car due to the elevation and Mercedes will bounce back at Silverstone, with the circuit suiting their car massively. The team’s power advantage has been eroded this season by Ferrari and although the Scuderia took the race in 2018, Mercedes have been very positive on their 2019 chances and have strongly suggested their car will really come alive at Silverstone.

Scuderia Ferrari

Ferrari’s 2019 season has been headlined by frustration and under-performance, with the Scuderia hyped up at each race before failing to deliver the goods. When they have delivered, in both Bahrain and Austria, they have seen the chance disappear in heart-breaking fashion. The latest race at Austria did provide hope for better, but Mattia Binotto (team principal) hasn’t been particularly bullish in the build-up, suggesting he “doesn’t expect Silverstone to suit its 2019 F1 car well”. Winning an exhilarating 2018 race, will Ferrari finally break their 2019 hoodoo at Silverstone?

Four-time champion Sebastian Vettel has endured a very frustrating season thus far. Having a dire weekend in Bahrain when Ferrari had a winning package, the misery was compounded in Canada where he was demoted from the race win after a late-race penalty for “forcing another driver off the track”. Although that penalty is massively disputed, given the power advantage Ferrari has, it was disappointing that Vettel was unable to shake off Hamilton throughout the race. Vettel did break Mercedes’ dominance of this race last year, though it was a very close affair and perhaps crucially, Hamilton was spun at the start by Kimi Raikkonen. Nevertheless, Vettel races this track very well and that is a fact that should be noted.

2017 F2 Champion Charles Leclerc has impressed in the Ferrari this year and although it’s been a teething process at points, he should be a race winner by now. Leading the Bahrain Grand Prix by multiple seconds, he suffered a heart-breaking engine problem late in the race, which saw him drop down to third. You could even stretch to say he should be a dual race winner, caught in the final laps of Austria after looking the likely winner for most of the race. The positive signs are obvious from the young Monegasque driver and he’s got a very good record at Silverstone. Winning the F2 Feature race in 2017, he was in the process of massively out-driving his Sauber last year before losing a wheel after the first round of pitstops. Optimism can be high for Leclerc as a result.

Red Bull

Max Verstappen has been a standout performer in 2019, posting consistent result after consistent result, winning the last race in Austria and he’s yet to finish outside the top five in any of the races. It’s been a remarkable year for the Dutch prodigy and the fact that he and his Red Bull have managed to keep pace with the Ferraris for most of the season has been a true testament to Verstappen and the team. Silverstone, however, hasn’t been the happiest of hunting grounds for Red Bulls in recent years and although Honda (their engine manufacturer) has eroded the engine gap to Ferrari and Mercedes, barring accidents, it’s going to be a struggle for him to mix it on the podium here.

A passing mention goes to Pierre Gasly, but given his massively disappointing 2019 season, he can only be mentioned in passing. Although hugely promising in Toro Rosso last year, Gasly has found life at Red Bull very tough and is a staggering 83 points behind Verstappen. With a best finish of fifth at Monaco, it’s hard to see him being a factor after another hugely disappointing race at Austria, where Verstappen won the race and remarkably lapped his team-mate.

Of The Rest

McLaren have formed a resurgence in recent races and their driving pairing of Carlos Sainz and Lando Norris has really turned heads. With Norris finishing best of the rest in Austria and Sainz going huge with an eighth-place finish from the back of the grid, they should be fighting for best of the rest once again.

Consistently out-driving his car in 2019, Kimi Raikkonen has proved that the fire remains and Alfa Romeo‘s recent upgrades have seen them surge back into the “best of the rest” discussion. Antonio Giovinazzi finally got the rub of the green in Austria and arriving at Silverstone, a track that should suit their car well, on the back of double points finish, the Swiss outfit can be bullish of another good weekend.

It’s been a topsy turvy season thus far for Renault, with Daniel Ricciardo and Nico Hulkenberg both running some impressive races in 2019. Those have been complemented by a fair amount of disappointing weekends, however, including in Austria last time out. Hulkenberg finished best of the rest at Silverstone twelve months ago, however, and with plenty of overtaking chances, Ricciardo will likely to be very hungry for points.

Haas have been mystifying in 2019, with their sudden lack of race pace in recent races extremely alarming. Qualifying fifth at Austria and starting tenth after a penalty, Kevin Magnussen plunged down the field in the race and finished 19th, behind one of the Williams. With both him and Romain Grosjean showing pace at various points in the year, it’s been highly disappointing to see the American outfit struggling so badly, and it’ll be interesting to see if their woes continue at Silverstone.

Torro Rosso should be hunting up the back end of the points with Daniil Kvyat and Alexander Albon, as they look to bounce back from a dismal Austria, while Force India’s pairing of Sergio Perez and Lance Stroll should be aiming for the same, with the team buoyed by last year’s double points finish.

There really isn’t much to say about Williams, who have endured a nightmare season. There isn’t much George Russell and Robert Kubica can do, and another tough weekend lies in store.

Sebastian Vettel to get pole

2pts

Sebastian Vettel has always been a fast qualifier and went very close to beating Lewis Hamilton in last year’s qualifying. Silverstone tends to bring out the best in Vettel and he’ll be desperate to bounce back this weekend, after being unable to challenge in Austria after missing Q3 with a mechanical failure. Provided he has a trouble-free qualifying session, there is a big chance that he can put in one of his signature Q3 hot-laps to land pole position for the race on Sunday. Currently at an each-way price, it’s too tempting to ignore here. 

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Charles Leclerc to win the race

2pts

Mercedes and Lewis Hamilton are obviously warm favourites to bounce back from their recent Austrian plight, but I do think that Ferrari can finally break their 2019 duck here with Charles Leclerc. Winning the F2 Feature race in 2017, he was in the top-ten and massively out-driving his Sauber twelve months ago before a problem at the pitstop saw him retire mid-race. With stellar performances at both Bahrain and Austria, he’s proved he can handle the pressure and his previous Silverstone performances bode well. He’s been more than a match for Vettel thus far in 2019 and although Mattia Binotto has played down Ferrari’s chances, that came as a surprise to me given that Silverstone really should suit their car on paper. Mercedes have turned up to most races suggesting “Ferrari has their measure”, and I’d air on the side of caution before taking any of the team principles comments at face value. If continuing his momentum from Austria, I think he can usurp Vettel in the race to take victory. 

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