Atletico Paranaense vs Sport Recife Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

Atletico PR have been a really strange team this season. At home they’ve been absolutely outstanding. They average 2.59 points per game at the Estádio Joaquim Américo Guimarães, the best home record in the division. They’ve won 82% of their home fixtures in the league but on their travels they’ve taken just 8 points from 18 games, which means they are battling to hold onto a place in the top six and the Copa Libertadores next term.

With such a strong home record, they’ll be confident they can pick up another important 3 points here. They’ve won all of their last 7 home games and they’ve been so tight at the back, opposing teams have found them very hard to break down. They’ve let in just 2 goals in those 7 games and have conceded just 0.35 goals per game at home this term on average.

Therefore, one goal has often been enough for them and here they face a Sport Recife side that aren’t the best at the back and are sure to allow them chances to score. Sport are in decent form and have won 3 of their last 5 games to just give them a bit of a cushion on the bottom four with 3 games to go. Overall they have really struggled on the road though, losing 71% of their away fixtures and they’d lost 6 away league games on the spin before a shock 3-0 win over Gremio last time out, although it was a weakened Gremio side that they came up against.

Atletico PR won’t be so generous and given they’ve won 65% of their home games this term to nil, you have to fancy them against a Sport Recife side that have lost 41% of their away games to nil. Therefore, backing Atletico PR to win at 17/20 looks to offer value here.