Borussia Dortmund vs Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

At a crucial part of the season, things seem to be unravelling for both of these sides. Bundesliga leaders Borussia Dortmund were beaten on Friday, meaning that Bayern Munich are now level on points with them domestically. Meanwhile, one point in three Premier League games has ended any ambitions Spurs had of lifting the title. The only trophy they can possibly win is the Champions League, so there’s pressure on them to see out their 3-0 lead over Dortmund when the pair meet on Tuesday night.

The hosts lost out at Augsburg at the weekend, which has left them marginally clear at the top. They have a crucial month ahead, before starting April with a clash against Bayern. Given the huge opportunity they have domestically this season, it might be in Dortmund’s best interests not to progress here. However, they come into this game aiming to turn around their heavy defeat at Wembley, although the history books aren’t exactly in their favour ahead of this clash.

100% of teams to have won 3-0 at home in the first leg of a Champions League knockout match have progressed to the next round (7 previous cases). That’s left Tottenham in a great position to go through, which would be their second appearance in the competition’s quarter-finals after 2010/11. That’s not the greatest pedigree for a side who see the European Cup as their last chance of silverware. However, the manner of their 3-0 win in the first leg showed what they are capable of on their day.

The issue for Spurs here is that they have a poor record on the road in this competition. Their last away win in the Champions League came at Dortmund in November 2017, when they faced a very different BVB under Peter Bosz. That’s one of just two away wins for Spurs in nine games in this competition. Now they’re going up against a side who have won 83% of their home games in the Bundesliga, including all of their key clashes with their fellow top six teams.

Spurs can’t exactly say the same. They have lost three of five trips to the top eight, which doesn’t include future clashes at Man City and Liverpool. They come into this game on the back of four straight defeats on the road, losing their hopes of winning three trophies in that run. They come here nervy, with something to protect. Dortmund should get forward as they look to get back into the game, so we’re backing the hosts to claim a second leg win here.