Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Predictions

• Dortmund have won to nil in each of their five home Bundesliga victories this season
• Werder Bremen have lost by two clear goals in five of their six clashes with the top eight
• The visitors have shipped 16 goals in eight away trips this season
• Werder have failed to create 1.0 xG in four of their last five games

Hosts to record routine win

Borussia Dortmund’s first game of 2026 was a thrilling 3-3 draw at Eintracht Frankfurt, but they can expect a more straightforward affair when they host Werder Bremen on Tuesday night.

The visitors saw their first game of the year called off, having ended 2025 on a sour note. Werder Bremen are winless in five Bundesliga outings, while they’ve been beaten in four of their eight away trips.

Half of the six points Werder have picked up on their travels have come against the bottom four. They’ve lost 4-1 at Frankfurt, 2-0 at RB Leipzig, and 4-0 at Bayern Munich so far this season.

Dortmund have kept a clean sheet in all five of their home victories, and they’re capable of scoring a couple of goals against this poor Werder backline.

The visitors have failed to create 1.0 Expected Goals in four of their last five games, while Dortmund have conceded the second-lowest xG tally at home in the Bundesliga this term.

With Werder Bremen looking blunt, Dortmund can score a couple of goals against a side who have shipped 16 goals in eight trips, and cover a -1 handicap.