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Brighton vs Liverpool Predictions

TV
England Premier League | The Amex Stadium | 8th July
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Brighton
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KO 20:15
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Liverpool
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Brighton vs Liverpool predictions for Wednesday’s Premier League fixture at the AMEX Stadium. Can Brighton avoid defeat against newly crowned Champions Liverpool? Read on for all our free Premier League predictions and betting tips.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Under 2.5 Match Goals @ 1/1

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Liverpool 1-0 @ 13/2

Reason For Brighton vs Liverpool Predictions

  • Under 2.5 goals were scored in 13 of Brighton’s last 18 games.
  • Liverpool failed to score in each of their last five away matches.
  • Under 2.5 goals were scored in two of the last three meetings between Brighton and Liverpool.
  • Two of those three meetings finished 1-0 to the Reds.

Brighton’s survival almost secured

Brighton warmed up for their date with the champions with a potentially season-defining 1-0 win at bottom club Norwich City on Saturday – a victory that would have almost completely erased any lingering relegation fears for the Seagulls.

The win, which was Albion’s second in four assignments since the restart, was secured thanks to Leandro Trossard’s first-half strike, though in the main, Brighton’s success was again built on solid defensive foundations.

Remarkably, the Seagulls’ clean sheet at Carrow Road was their third on the spin on the road, while their 0-3 reverse against a rampant looking Man Utd on June 30 remains the only time in eight games where Brighton conceded more than once.

With their top-flight status all but confirmed and their rearguard looking increasingly watertight, Brighton should provide stiff opposition for Liverpool this week.

Liverpool’s title party hangover

At first glance, Liverpool’s 2-0 win over Aston Villa on Sunday has the look of a routine victory, but behind the final scoreline was another unconvincing, flat display from the champions.

Having been embarrassed at Man City in a 4-0 drubbing just three days before, Jurgen Klopp would have been relieved to get back to winning ways at Anfield, though the manner of the Reds’ performance against a relegation threatened Villa outfit still had all the hallmarks of a team lacking motivation.

Away from Merseyside, Liverpool are without a win, or even a goal, for five fixtures in what has been a bizarre sequence of results for one of Europe’s most attack-minded teams.

Few goals anticipated

The Reds have looked nowhere near their sharp selves in the final third in recent weeks, and we shouldn’t expect them to rediscover their attacking fluency at Brighton on Wednesday.

While Graham Potter has yet to stumble upon an attacking formula that works well, the Brighton manager deserves great credit for his tactical and organisational work at the other end of the pitch.

In total, Brighton conceded one or fewer goals in 15 of their last 18 fixtures in all competitions, though their lack of sparkle at the business end means that under 2.5 goals were registered in 13 of those matches.

Even at their best, Liverpool found it tough to open Brighton up in recent meetings with the Seagulls, with two of the clubs’ last three encounters finishing 1-0 to the Reds.

The landscape suggests we should anticipate a similarly tight contest on Wednesday, and that in turn makes the under 2.5 total goals market an attractive proposition at the prices quoted.

Under 2.5 goals landed in four of Liverpool’s last seven away matches, while Brighton saw three or fewer goals scored in seven of their last nine at the AMEX Stadium.

Our correct score forecast tips Jurgen Klopp’s title winners to eventually carve out a narrow 1-0 win however.  Having beaten Brighton in each of their last five meetings, Liverpool’s dominance in this fixture has been absolute since the Seagulls promotion in 2017.

However, as we mentioned earlier, games between them since 2018 have been incredibly tight, and having seen Albion off by single goal margins (2-1, 1-0, 1-0) in each of their most recent three clashes, another slender victory feels a suitable forecast here.

Key Battle: Dan Burn vs Mohamed Salah

At a towering 6’7” tall, Dan Burn isn’t they archetypal full-back in terms of physique, though the 28-year old continues to perform well as the furthest left member of Brighton’s back four.

Burn however, could struggle to match the pace and trickery of Liverpool winger Mohamed Salah on Wednesday.

Salah was Liverpool’s match winner in two of their last three wins against Brighton, and the Egyptian international, who has 17 Premier League goals so far this season, will fancy a late flurry of goals between now and the end of the campaign as he hunts down another Golden Boot award.

Brighton vs Liverpool team news

Jose Izquierdo remains a long term absentee for Brighton while Steven Alzate is also rated as doubtful for Wednesday’s game.

Graham Potter has options to choose from in terms of personnel in midfield and attack, though Belgian goal hero and Carrow Road match winner Leonardo Trossard looks set to hold on to his place in the starting XI.

Aaron Connolly could drop out of the team after an ineffectual showing against Norwich however.

Brighton predicted line-up: Ryan – Lamptey, Webster, Dunk, Burn – Bissouma, Stephens, Propper, Mooy, Trossard – Maupay

Jordan Henderson, Georgino Wijnaldum and Roberto Firmino could return to the Liverpool XI having started from the subs bench against Aston Villa.

With James Milner a doubt, out of form Andy Robertson should continue at left back, while Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and Divock Origi are expected to return to the bench.

Liverpool predicted line-up: Alisson – Alexander-Arnold, Gomez, van Dijk, Robertson – Henderson, Fabinho, Wijnaldum, Salah, Mane, Firmino

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