El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Betting Tips and Predictions

5th placed El Nacional (from 12 teams total) are vastly improved since their 2015 Ecuadorian Serie A season. Relegation is decided from the overall aggregate table after 2 seperate phases of the Serie A and after all 44 fixtures of the 2015 season El Nacional finished 9th place and just 3 points above the relegation zone. As it stands, El Nacional would qualify for the Copa Sudamericana first stage and they are just 1 point behind Independiente del Valla and 3rd place, which would qualify them for the reputable Copa Libertadores.

5th place Deportivo Cuenca are, similary, much improved since last season. Deportivo finished 10th placed and 2 points above the relegation zone in 2015 and are now also pushing for top 6 to qualify for one of the South American cups. Deportivo Cuenca have, however, been slipping in recent weeks and are without a win in 4 matches coming into this one.

El Nacional are the more in-form side taking 9 points from their last 5 matches (W3 L2), compared with Deportivo’s 5 points from their last 5 (W1 D2 L2). Home advantage plays a strong influence on results in the Ecuadorian Serie A due to the vastly different climates each team is accustomed to. El Nacional fit this trend solidly, with only 1 defeat at home in their last 9 matches (W5 D3 L1). Deportivo Cuenca, however, are the “inform side” away from home with the 2nd best away record in the league, taking 15 points from all 10 fixtures on the road this season (W4 D3 L3). All 5 of the last 5 meetings between the two sides ended with under 2.5 goals scored and this fixture seems tight so a draw seems the likely outcome.

Combining this analysis with the statistics below, we expect under 2.5 goals at 3/4 to be the safe bet and a 1-1 draw at 11/2 to be a top value correct score bet for this match.

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