Istanbul Basaksehir vs Sporting Lisbon Predictions

• Both teams have scored in 3 of Basaksehir’s last 4 matches.
• Both teams have scored in 3 of Sporting’s last 4 matches.
• Basaksehir have a 67% win ratio at home where both teams have scored in 75% of their matches.
• Both teams have scored in 64% of Sporting’s away trips.

Neither side have a good record of clean sheets

Sporting may have been disappointed not to have kept a clean sheet in the 1st leg at home after goals from Coates, Sporar, and Vietto put the Portuguese outfit 3-0 up after just fifty-one minutes, but a late penalty from Visca handed Basaksehir a lifeline and something to possibly build upon back in Turkey.

The visitors head into the 2nd leg as the form favourites with four wins, one draw, and one defeat from their last six matches but their Turkish hosts have picked up eight wins, three draws and suffered just one defeat from their twelve home games in the league and will be confident in their ability to turn this European tie around. Sporting have already lost three times on the road in the Primeira Liga and will be expecting a hostile atmosphere in Turkey where the first goal could prove crucial.

Basaksehir average 2.25 points per home game and boast a 67% win ratio in their own backyard while Sporting average 1.64 points per away game and have lost 27% of their away games domestically, so you can see why we have backed a home win this Thursday. Basaksehir score an average of 2.42 goals per home game and concede just 0.92 goals while Sporting score an average of 1.55 goals per away game and concede 1.00 goals, and we have predicted a final scoreline of 2-1 in the hosts’ favour.

Sporting will be hoping to have done enough in the 1st leg to progress

Both teams have scored in 75% of the hosts’ home matches this season, as well as in 64% of Sporting’s away games, and we have backed both teams to score on Thursday. Over 2.5 goals have been produced in 67% of Basaksehir’s home games and 45% of Sporting’s trips on the road, adding further weight to our prediction for a 2-1 final scoreline on Thursday.

The host shave only kept clean sheets in 25% of their home games while the visitors have only kept their opponents out in 18% of their away games and we can’t see either side failing to score in Turkey. Basaksehir have scored in all of their home games this season and Sporting have only failed to score in 18% of their trips on the road. Exactly 3-goals have been scored in a quarter of the hosts’ home matches so far this season and we have backed another 3-goals to be produced in Thursday’s 2nd leg as well.

We’re confident that both teams will score in Thursday’s 2nd leg and we have predicted a final scoreline of 2-1 in favour of Basaksehir. The hosts need to win but a 2-1 scoreline in their favour simply won’t be good enough to see them progress through to the next round of the Europa League. Sporting have more experience in European competitions, head into the 2nd leg as the form favourites, and showed their class in the 1st leg which is why we believe they will do enough on Thursday to keep their European adventure going.