Lazio vs Fiorentina Predictions

• Fiorentina have conceded in 14 of their last 15 games across all competitions
• Lazio have shipped 7.1 xG across their last six league games
• The visitors have improved with two wins from their last three games
• Fiorentina have scored six times from an xG of 6.3 across those three matches

Lazio look vulnerable against improving Viola

Fiorentina have won two of their last three games to move off the bottom of the Serie A table, and they visit a Lazio side who are in shaky form.

The hosts have struggled all season, but they’ve won just one of their last six Serie A games. The Biancocelesti have fared quite well at home to sides below them, winning three and drawing two of their five games, while scoring 11 goals.

However, Maurizio Sarri’s side haven’t been great defensively of late, conceding 7.1 Expected Goals across their last six league games.

Opponents Fiorentina have had good underlying numbers for most of the season, but now they finally appear to be delivering on that. The Viola have scored six times from an xG of 6.3 across their previous three league outings.

The visitors have conceded 14 times in nine away matches in the league, while they’ve kept one clean sheet across their previous 15 matches in all competitions.

There are reasons to believe in both sides going forward, while the pair each have their own concerns defensively. Both teams to score appeals at a shade below evens, while the improving visitors can do enough to secure a point.