Lithuania vs Malta Predictions & Betting Tips, Match Previews

16:00
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LFF Stadium

Lithuania

Malta

Malta Double Chance (Win or Draw)

Reason for tip

Lithuania are without a win in their last 10 internationals, including a draw with Malta in June. The visitors won three and drew one at the end of 2024 against weaker opposition, while they’ve been competitive in most of their games in this qualifying campaign.

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Draw 1-1

Reason for tip

Malta have recorded 2.3 Expected Goals across their first four games without scoring, so back them to breach a Lithuania side who are the weakest defence they’ll face in qualifying. The visitors have conceded in three of their last four, so back a 1-1 draw.

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Lithuania are without a win in 10 internationals
Malta restricted the hosts defensively in a 0-0 draw in June
The visitors won three of their final four matches in 2024 (D1)

Hosts on worrying run

Lithuania head into Thursday’s qualifier as the favourites for the points against Malta, but the hosts are heading into the first of their Autumn internationals in troubling form.

Since winning a double-header playoff against Gibraltar in March 2024, Lithuania have lost eight and drawn two of their previous 10 games. They played out a goalless draw with Malta in June, while the hosts have the worst underlying numbers in this group so far.

Malta were beaten 8-0 by the Netherlands in their last game, but they had kept things close before that. They’ve also generated more Expected Goals, 2.3, than Lithuania’s 1.6.

Malta had an encouraging end to 2024, securing wins to nil against Andorra, Moldova, and Liechtenstein in the Nations League. Lithuania struggled to create chances when the pair last met, so back Malta to keep the hosts at bay.