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Manchester City vs Brighton Predictions

  • 19:00
  • Expired
  • Etihad Stadium
Manchester City

Manchester City to Win and Under 2.5 Match Goals

13/5odds when tipped
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Manchester City 2-0

11/2odds when tipped
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Kevin de Bruyne To Score Anytime

6/5odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Under 2.5 goals landed in eight of City’s final 10 games in their last title race
  • Brighton have conceded only 17 goals in 16 away trips this season
  • City have scored more than twice only twice at home in 2022
  • De Bruyne has scored in six of his last seven home league games

Brighton back in form, but for how long?

It’s been an incredible week for Brighton, who ended their winless run with victories at Arsenal and Spurs. However, the Seagulls haven’t won three consecutive league games since October 2018 under Chris Hughton. Ending that wait will be difficult here, with City locked in on the title after their FA Cup exit.

The Citizens are set to duel Liverpool to the end for the title, while it looks increasingly likely that they’ll finish the campaign with a Champions League final meeting. Before that, City have seven games left to secure the title, which could lead to a bit more conservatism.

Back to basics for City

When City and Liverpool went head-to-head in 2018/19, Pep Guardiola’s side left their swashbuckling ways behind. Their games got tighter, with more emphasis on defence. In their final 10 games in that campaign, City picked up five 1-0 wins and three 2-0 victories.

This week they host a Brighton side who have seen under 2.5 goals in 75% of their league games this term. The visitors have now conceded only once across their last three, while they’ve let in 17 goals across their 16 away matches.

The only sides to concede more than twice at City in 2022 are Championship Fulham and a hapless Man United side, so don’t expect Brighton to be blown away. However, the hosts have never lost a home league game against Brighton (W9 D2), while the Seagulls have lost eight of their nine Premier League clashes with the Citizens. Given that, I’m backing City to win with under 2.5 goals to be scored, with a 2-0 victory my correct score prediction.

De Bruyne to continue run

Kevin De Bruyne has scored 11 Premier League goals this season. He’s only two shy of his best ever campaign, netting 13 goals in 2019/20. The Belgian can score for the third game running this week, while he’s been excellent at the Etihad this term.

The Belgian has scored in six of his last seven home league games, hitting eight goals in that run. He’s expected to return to fitness in time for this one, so I’m backing him to be the man to make the difference for City.

Man City predicted lineup: Ederson; Cancelo, Dias, Laporte, Ake; Silva, Rodri, De Bruyne; Mahrez, Sterling, Grealish

Brighton predicted lineup: Sanchez; Veltman, Dunk, Cucurella; Lamptey, Gross, Mwepu, Lallana, Trossard; Mac Allister, Welbeck

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