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Napoli vs Ajax Predictions

  • 16:45
  • Expired
  • Stadio San Paolo
Napoli
Ajax
  • BT Sport 1

Napoli to Win and Over 2.5 Match Goals

Reason for tip

Napoli have won eight consecutive games in all competitions, with seven of those victories featuring a minimum of three match goals. No Champions League side matched their tally of 13 goals across the first three matchdays in the competition, while Ajax have won just one of their last five matches, conceding 13 goals in that sequence.

11/10odds when tipped

Napoli 3-1

Reason for tip

Napoli have scored three or more goals in four of their last five games, including a 6-1 hammering of Ajax last week in which they accumulated 26 attempts on goal. Luciano Spalletti’s team remain unbeaten in all competitions this season, but have only kept two clean sheets in their last eight games – so Ajax could land a blow.

11/1odds when tipped
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Giovanni Simeone To Score Anytime

Reason for tip

Since joining Napoli from Verona, Giovanni Simeone has scored four goals in just 284 minutes of football, including a strike against Ajax last week. With the hosts in the middle of a busy period, he is likely to get on the pitch, and could keep up his fine rate of goalscoring.

6/5odds when tipped
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Napoli vs Ajax Predictions

  • Napoli have won eight consecutive games, seven of which have contained over 2.5 goals.
  • No other UEFA Champions League team matched Napoli’s tallies of 13 goals or 11.1 expected goals (xG) through their first three games.
  • Ajax have seen over 2.5 goals scored in seven of their last eight games.
  • The Dutch giants lost 6-1 at home to Napoli last week.

Dazzling Partenopei continue to impress

Napoli may well be the best team in Europe to watch based on current form. Having taken Ajax apart with a remarkable 6-1 win in Amsterdam last week, Luciano Spalletti’s team made it eight wins in the spin by hammering Cremonese 4-1 on Sunday, strengthening their grip at the top of Serie A. With Napoli able to secure a spot in the knockout stages with a win on Wednesday, Ajax should expect no let-up in the return fixture.

Napoli’s fluid attack has been in tremendous form of late, with the likes of Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Hirving Lozano and Giovanni Simeone all coming to the fore. Seven of Napoli’s eight consecutive wins have contained over 2.5 goals, and their tallies of 13 goals and 11.1 expected goals (xG) were unmatched throughout the Champions League’s first three matchdays. Spalletti’s men were truly dominant at Ajax last week, managing 26 shots totalling 3.6 xG and going 5-1 up before the hosts’ red card, and they will be supremely confident of another win here.

Ajax, meanwhile, are in dire need of a win after losing two of their first three Champions League games, but their recent defensive struggles make it difficult to see them testing Napoli. Indeed, while Ajax have won seven of their nine Eredivisie games this season, they are without a clean sheet in their last five outings overall, winning once. Seven of Ajax’s last eight matches have contained over 2.5 goals, and Alfred Schreuder’s men have lost two of their last three away games, and will be without the suspended Dusan Tadic here.

Napoli set to win another thriller

Napoli’s incredible recent form and depth of attacking talent makes it difficult to see anything but another high-scoring home victory on Wednesday, although the hosts’ record of two clean sheets in their last eight outings means Ajax should play their part.

While Napoli to win and over 2.5 match goals is our main tip for Wednesday’s contest, a 3-1 home victory could represent a decent correct score prediction.

Meanwhile, Simeone has scored four goals in just 284 minutes of football for Napoli since joining from Verona – if he gets on the pitch, the Argentine could be a fine anytime goalscorer pick.

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