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Southampton vs Watford Predictions

Published on 4:11pm GMT 4 February 2026

  • 12:31
  • Expired
  • St. Marys Stadium
Southampton
    Watford

      Southampton to Win

      Reason for tip

      Southampton look worth backing at home despite sitting below Watford in the table. The Saints have been reliable at St Mary’s, conceding just 13 goals in 14 Championship home games, and that defensive base gives them a solid platform. Watford arrive out of sorts on the road, without a win in five away league matches, and their defence has started to creak with no clean sheet in four of the last five. In a tight matchup, home strength could be decisive.

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      Southampton 1-0

      Reason for tip

      A low-scoring contest looks likely. Southampton’s recent games have been cagey, with under 2.5 goals landing in each of their last three, while Watford have also been involved in a run of tight affairs, with seven of their last nine staying under that line. The Saints are scoring regularly but rarely in bursts, often settling for single-goal wins. Watford’s struggles away from home and recent defensive lapses point towards a narrow 1-0 home success rather than anything more emphatic.

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      Southampton vs Watford Predictions

      Saints can make home advantage count against travel-sick Watford

      Southampton are the best bet to beat Watford at home in the Championship on Saturday.

      Watford are six places above Southampton in the table, but just four points separate the two sides. Watford sit eighth with 11 wins, 11 draws and eight losses, while Southampton are 14th having won ten, drawn ten and lost ten.

      Southampton will fancy their chances of scoring here. They have found the net in their last four league games, although they only managed to score once in three of those.

      They have been impressive defensively at home this season, conceding just 13 goals in 14 Championship games – an average of 0.93 goals per game.

      The visitors’ recent form on the road has been disappointing. Watford have gone five Championship games without recording a victory.

      The visitors’ defence has been far from watertight lately, with Watford failing to keep a clean sheet in four of their last five Championship games.

      A 1-0 win for Southampton looks the best correct-score option. Seven of Watford’s last nine Championship games and each of Southampton’s last three have seen under 2.5 goals, and four of Watford’s eight defeats this season have been by a 1-0 scoreline.


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      Edited by Mark Langdon

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