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Switzerland vs Germany Predictions

Published on 7:00pm GMT 23 June 2024

  • 19:00
  • Expired
  • Waldstadion
Switzerland
Germany
  • BBC Two
  • BBC iPlayer
  • BBC Sport Website

Germany Over 1.5 Team Goals

Reason for tip

Germany have scored multiple goals in nine of their last 11 games. Die Mannshaft are outperforming their expected goals by a factor of two with seven goals scored from 3.78 xG at Euro 2024, so should be sharp enough to score two or more on Sunday.

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Germany 2-1

Reason for tip

Germany have scored exactly two goals in seven of their last 11 matches. Meanwhile, Switzerland have kept only three clean sheets in their last 10 internationals, but have shipped more than two goals in a game only once in their last 16 outings. Nati have shown they are capable of scoring in a variety of ways against Hungary and Scotland, so may be able to get one against a German team that could not keep the Scots out. 

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Niclas Fullkrug To Score Anytime

Reason for tip

Niclas Fullkrug has an excellent record at international level with 12 goals in 18 appearances for Germany. He has struck five times in his last nine games, of which only four were starts and two lasted longer than 45 minutes. The Dortmund striker scored against Scotland and his aerial prowess could earn him the nod to start against the Swiss, who were vulnerable to crosses against Hungary.

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Switzerland vs Germany Predictions

  • Germany have scored multiple goals in nine of their last 11 games and exactly two in seven of them
  • The tournament hosts are outperforming their expected goals by a factor of two with seven goals scored from 3.78 xG at Euro 2024
  • Niclas Fullkrug has scored 12 goals in 18 games for Germany and could be due to start against the Swiss

Clash of unbeaten Group A teams

Germany and Switzerland will battle it out for top spot in Group A at Frankfurt’s Waldstadion on Sunday evening.

It is hard to see past another win for the Euro 2024 hosts, who are riding the crest of a wave at the moment.

Julian Nagelsmann’s side began to build momentum in the spring with back-to-back friendly wins over France and Netherlands, but they are yet to face a team of that stature in this tournament.

Top spot is a prize worth fighting for

However, they have shown the sort of precision in their passing and efficiency of finishing that should have some of the other favourites worried about facing them further down the line.

And with Germany already through and Switzerland virtually assured of their place in the last-16, this game is all about which of them finishes top and gets the potentially easier path through the knockout stages.

Die Mannschaft will want to avoid a momentum-killing defeat that could also then send them to the bottom half of the draw and a potential clash with Spain or Italy in Berlin.

Fullkrug can finish off crosses

Nagelsmann could make a handful of changes in a bid to keep things fresh and exploit a possible Swiss weakness on defending crosses.

Nati looked nervous whenever Hungary put balls into their box last Saturday while Grant Hanley came close to giving Scotland the lead when he struck the woodwork from a cross after showing greater determination to meet it than the Swiss defence.

Niclas Fullkrug might therefore get the nod to start this one in the number nine role after being used as a substitute in Germany’s opening two matches.

The Dortmund striker has an excellent international record with 12 goals in 18 games and did net in last Friday’s 5-1 evisceration of Scotland. He looks like being a good shout to get on the scoresheet again with Switzerland yet to keep a clean sheet in the tournament.

Back Germans to bag at least twice

Murat Yakin’s side have been good in possession and may be able to find a way to score in Frankfurt, particularly if Xherdan Shaqiri produces another finish like he did against the Scots.

But Germany look full of goals themselves and can be trusted to grab a couple at the ground where they beat the Netherlands 2-1 in March, but should have probably had four or five on the night.

Unlike them, Germany’s efficiency in front of goal is now much better with Nagelsmann’s side outperforming their tournament expected goals (xG) by a factor of two.

And they should be able to score at least two for the tenth time in their last dozen games.

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