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Villarreal vs Almeria Predictions

  • 19:30
  • Expired
  • Estadio de la Ceramica

odds when tipped

odds when tipped

Tip Reasoning

Despite being a division below Villarreal, Almeria competed well in the first leg. Having scored three goals on their travels, the Yellow Submarine will surely be disappointed not to be returning to Estadio de la Cerámica with an aggregate lead, but they’ll also be confident of building one at home against a second division side.

The first leg was very much a tale of two halves as far as the La Liga side were concerned. It wasn’t that they delivered contrasting performances in each of the match, but in each half of the pitch. In their opponents’ half, Javier Calleja’s men looked dangerous; they created chances and scored goals, though in their own half, their performance was disappointing, as they conceded both big chances and goals. If they’re to progress on Wednesday, then Villarreal will need to find a way of replicating their offensive performances without giving so much away at the back.

Fortunately, Estadio de la Cerámica is where Villarreal have been at their best this season, so they ought to be confident of delivering the goods on Wednesday evening. At home, the Yellow Submarine, who’re averaging 1.48 expected goals for and just 0.79 against, haven’t secured too many positive results in La Liga, but from a performance point of view, they’ve done more than enough to suggest that they can get the better of Almeria.

Almeria haven’t been terrible on their travels in the Segunda, while they’ll certainly be buoyed by their performance against the La Liga side in the first leg, though their overall efforts on the road don’t exactly tell us that they can outscore Calleja’s men away from home. On the road, Almeria have failed to score in four out of eight this season, while they’re averaging a modest 1.19 expected goals for.

The first leg may have spiralled out of control in terms of goals, but at the prices, it’s worth getting behind the opposite here. Villarreal’s efforts at home this season have been pleasing, so it would be no surprise whatsoever if they mustered a routine win against an Almeria side that has often struggled to build up a head of steam offensively on the road in the second division.

With a pleasing average expected goals difference of +0.69 at home and with an average of just 0.79 expected goals against, the bet that stands out is ‘Villarreal to Win & Under 3.5 Goals’.

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