America MG vs Sport Recife Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

America Mineiro’s fate has already been sealed and they will be returning to Serie B next season, so there is nothing really at stake for them here, although in truth they’ve been playing just for pride for some time now. Sport Recife are hoping not to join them in the Second tier next term and can guarantee their survival by winning this game, although they will get another chance on the final day if things go wrong here.

It’s likely to be a tight game with a lot at stake for the visitors and the hosts favouring a very cautious approach. They’ve scored just 2 goals in their last 9 matches and average a shocking 0.58 goals per game overall this term, by far the worst record in the division. At home though they have been quite tough to break down of late and they’ve ground out a few narrow victories, so an away win is no foregone conclusion. America’s home games this season average just 1.61 goals per game in total and 78% of their home games have featured under 2.5 goals so we shouldn’t expect a classic here.

56% of Sport games this season have also had under 2.5 goals so they’ve not always been a great side to watch either. They come into this game following two defeats to nil and do tend to struggle on the road, averaging just 0.61 points per game on their travels. They’ve failed to score in 50% of those away games so they have had a tough time breaking opponents down on their travels and America are stubborn enough to make their life quite difficult here.

At the other end though America offer virtually no attacking threat of their own and have been found badly out of their depth at times this season. Therefore, if there is a moment of magic that settles this, the visitors are more likely to provide it but overall backing a low-scoring game looks like the smartest move. You can back under 2.5 goals at 13/20.