Atalanta vs SPAL Predictions

• Only three sides in the top five European leagues have fewer away points than SPAL this term.
• Atalanta have won 5-0 in their last two games at home.
• Atalanta have averaged 3.1 goals per game at home this term.
• SPAL have lost by 2+ goals in half their away defeats.

Mismatch in Bergamo

A SPAL side heading for Serie B clash with Champions League contenders Atalanta on Monday night. These two sides go head to head with the visitors in last place in the Serie A table. Meanwhile, la Dea are in the last 16 of the Champions League, with the chance to return next season.

The hosts are having a record season, as Atalanta have picked up 35 points in Serie A this term: the joint-most for the Bergamaschi in the first half of a Serie A season, along with 2016/17, when they ended the campaign in fourth position. Can they boost that form with another three points here?

SPAL Rough on the Road

SPAL have picked up 12 points in the opening 19 Serie A games this season. Since 1995, only three of the previous 31 teams with as many points avoided relegation at the end of the season. They’ve been fighting against the drop ever since they made it into the top flight against the odds. While late bursts of form have saved them in recent years, they face a much tougher task this season.

The visitors have been particularly bad on their travels so far. SPAL have earned only four away points this season: more than only Mallorca (one), Eintracht Frankfurt and Toulouse (three) among the top five European leagues this term. No Italian side have fewer points on the road this term, while the visitors come here with only one win across their last 12 away trips in all competitions

Atalanta Hitting Top Form

The hosts only managed a 1-1 draw last weekend, but that result at Inter Milan was a strong follow-up to their consecutive 5-0 wins at home. La Dea played then-leaders Inter off the park on their own patch, yet another strong display from the league’s top scorers. Atalanta come into this one having whipped Parma and AC Milan by a combined 10-0 scoreline in their last two here and now the league’s worst team are set to visit.

Atalanta have averaged the highest shots on target per game (7.9) in the top five European leagues this season. They’ve got a brilliant record at home, scoring 3.1 goals per game at their own ground, with all but one of their home wins coming by a single goal. Atalanta have won by four or more in half their home victories in Serie A this term, while half of SPAL’s away defeats have come by two goals or more.

The visitors are fresh from a 3-0 hammering at AC Milan, while la Dea have scored three against three of the bottom four so far this season. We see them racking up a comfortable win, so we’re backing Atalanta with a -2 Asian handicap. Atalanta have kept a clean sheet in eight of their 17 home meetings against SPAL in Serie A (W7 D7 L3). La Dea could also complete a hat-trick of 5-0 wins at home, but we see them falling just short. We’re backing a 4-0 victory for la Dea in this clash, with the hosts out to continue their run as the league’s top scorers.