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Atletico Madrid vs Lokomotiv Moscow predictions for Wednesday’s Champions League fixture at Wanda Metropolitano. Will the hosts book their place in the next round? Read on for our free predictions and betting tips.

Predictions & Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Atletico Madrid to Win and Under 3.5 Match Goals @ 20/23

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Atletico Madrid 2-0 @ 9/2

Reason For Atletico Madrid vs Lokomotiv Moscow Predictions

  • Atletico need to win to ensure that they make it through to the knockout rounds.
  • A draw may be enough for the hosts, though that would depend on what Leverkusen do.
  • With four goals to their name, Lokomotiv Moscow are the lowest scorers in this group.
  • Lokomotiv have conceded more than each of their three Group D rivals, shipping nine in five.

Win ensures safe passage for hosts

After five matches, Diego Simeone’s men, who’ve made a habit of reaching the final of this competition in recent years, would’ve expected to be qualified for the knockouts by this point, but they unfortunately come into match-day six without a guaranteed passage.

What is fortunate for the hosts is that their fate is entirely in their own hands. Win and they’re through to the last-16. Recent matches against both Leverkusen and Juventus didn’t go to plan, but Atleti did record a rather convincing victory in the reverse of this fixture, winning by two goals to nil, so they should fancy themselves to do the business on Wednesday. Moreover, they’re unbeaten at this venue in the UCL since 2017, winning six out of eight, keeping an impressive five clean sheets.

Lokomotiv down and out

As far as the visitors are concerned things haven’t gone to plan. Being drawn with Atletico, Juventus and Leverkusen probably meant that the Russians came into the group without much confidence, though they would’ve wanted to put up more of a fight than they have.

At both ends of the pitch, Lokomotiv have struggled to get going. They’ve scored less than a goal per game, while they’ve shipped nine, conceding two or more in four out of five. They’re yet to receive a real hammering, but that doesn’t really matter as their lack of attacking power has done the damage.

In the reverse of this fixture, Lokomotiv were unable to land a serious blow, as they failed to score and registered just three shots on target.

Success in store for Simeone’s men

Things haven’t quite gone to plan for the 13/14, 15/16 finalists, but they’ve been given a gilt-edged chance to book their place in the last-16. Punters are advised to back the hosts to take that chance. Specifically, ‘Atletico to Win & Under 3.5 Goals’ stands out. The hosts came under little defensive pressure and had too much in the locker for Lokomotiv in the reverse fixture. That is likely to be the case again. However, they didn’t run riot, while the fact that the visitors are yet to concede more than two points towards the hosts securing their place in the last-16 in relatively low-key fashion.

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Submitted Successfully
Article by: Bradley G
Contact: bradley.gibbs@apsleygroup.co.uk
Twitter: @BGibbs92
Published: December 9, 2019

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