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Atlanta Falcons +4.5
vs Buffalo Bills
Reason for tip

The Bills were stunned at home by the Patriots last week, continuing a trend of underwhelming performances against lesser opponents, despite still ranking as one of the NFL’s top teams when firing on all cylinders. Meanwhile, the Falcons quietly boast the league’s top-ranked defense and are coming off a dominant offensive outing and a bye week, with their elite ground game well-positioned to exploit Buffalo’s struggling run defense. It’s hard to bet against the Bills rebounding, but Atlanta looks great value as a home underdog by more than a field goal.

Washington Commanders -4.5
vs Chicago Bears
Reason for tip

The Commanders delivered an impressive win in Week 5 by beating the Chargers in LA thanks to a stellar performance by Jayden Daniels in his return from injury. The Commanders’ defense also dominated, holding the Chargers scoreless over the final 3 quarters and limiting them to their worst offensive output of the season. As for the Bears, although they are showing offensive promise behind rookie Caleb Williams, they have major concerns on defense, allowing over 29 points per game and ranking near the bottom in pass rush. Washington’s resurgence with a healthy Daniels will likely be too much to handle.

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Washington Commanders -4.5
vs Chicago Bears
Reason for tip

The Commanders delivered an impressive win in Week 5 by beating the Chargers in LA thanks to a stellar performance by Jayden Daniels in his return from injury. The Commanders’ defense also dominated, holding the Chargers scoreless over the final 3 quarters and limiting them to their worst offensive output of the season. As for the Bears, although they are showing offensive promise behind rookie Caleb Williams, they have major concerns on defense, allowing over 29 points per game and ranking near the bottom in pass rush. Washington’s resurgence with a healthy Daniels will likely be too much to handle.

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New York Jets +7.0
vs Denver Broncos
Reason for tip

The Week 6 NFL London game features the 3-2 Broncos against the 0-5 Jets, with Denver coming off a big upset over the Eagles while New York has remained competitive in close losses. Despite Bo Nix showing some promise, his production has been limited, and the Broncos haven’t dominated opponents consistently. Given the Jets’ tendency to keep games close with scoring in garbage time and the NFL’s overall parity, take New York to keep this within a touchdown.

Pittsburgh Steelers -6.0
vs Cleveland Browns
Reason for tip

Cleveland enters this AFC North matchup with a 1-4 record and short rest after a tough loss in London to the Vikings last week, while Pittsburgh comes off a bye at 3-1 with all wins on the road. Despite the Browns’ strong pass defense, they’ve struggled offensively and historically in Pittsburgh, where they haven’t won since 2020. These teams appear to be headed in opposite directions, so roll with the Steelers to pick up the home victory to take firm control of the AFC North.

Miami Dolphins +4.0
vs LA Chargers
Reason for tip

The Chargers, once 3-0, have dropped two straight games to NFC teams but remain tied atop the AFC West as they head to face a struggling 1-4 Dolphins squad that just blew a 17-point lead to Carolina. The spotlight is on 2020 draft QBs Justin Herbert and Tua Tagovailoa – Herbert ranks 8th in passing yards but lags in efficiency, while Tua is top-3 in TDs despite losing Tyreek Hill for the season. Injuries are mounting on both sides, but despite Miami’s record, they have looked better than their record suggests. They can at least keep things close when they host LA.

Detroit Lions +2.5
at Kansas City Chiefs
Reason for tip

Two seasons after upsetting the Chiefs at Arrowhead, the surging Lions head into Sunday Night Football looking like the better team, riding a four-game win streak behind the league’s top-scoring offense and an efficient Jared Goff. While Detroit’s defense remains average overall – strong against the run but vulnerable in the secondary – they’ll be taking on a Chiefs offense that has been underwhelming, especially in the red zone. Unless Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce regain form, Detroit’s consistency may prove decisive.

Atlanta Falcons +4.5
vs Buffalo Bills
Reason for tip

The Bills were stunned at home by the Patriots last week, continuing a trend of underwhelming performances against lesser opponents, despite still ranking as one of the NFL’s top teams when firing on all cylinders. Meanwhile, the Falcons quietly boast the league’s top-ranked defense and are coming off a dominant offensive outing and a bye week, with their elite ground game well-positioned to exploit Buffalo’s struggling run defense. It’s hard to bet against the Bills rebounding, but Atlanta looks great value as a home underdog by more than a field goal.

Washington Commanders -4.5
vs Chicago Bears
Reason for tip

The Commanders delivered an impressive win in Week 5 by beating the Chargers in LA thanks to a stellar performance by Jayden Daniels in his return from injury. The Commanders’ defense also dominated, holding the Chargers scoreless over the final 3 quarters and limiting them to their worst offensive output of the season. As for the Bears, although they are showing offensive promise behind rookie Caleb Williams, they have major concerns on defense, allowing over 29 points per game and ranking near the bottom in pass rush. Washington’s resurgence with a healthy Daniels will likely be too much to handle.

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