Corinthians vs Atletico Paranaense Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

This time last year Corinthians were busy celebrating a dominant title win but it has been a very different story this year. They lost their coach to the Brazil job early on and have done a fair bit of hiring and firing since then with results not picking up. Despite their struggles overall, their home form has remained pretty solid with just 2 defeats at Arena Corinthians and a 56% win ratio at home. They come into this game one place outside the Copa Libertadores positions with only 2 games to go, so it’s essential they pick up maximum points here ahead of what is likely to be a decisive final day game at Cruzeiro.

Atletico PR are one of the sides they are trying to chase down and Corinthians will move above them and into top six with a win so it is a crunch fixture. Atletico PR are only doing well on the back of their home form in truth so this isn’t as difficult a game as the league table makes out. On their travels Atletico PR have lost a massive 78% of their matches in the league this term and only two clubs have picked up fewer points on the road than them.

They’d actually lost 9 successive league away games before picking up a point at Fluminense last time out so they just seem like a completely different side on the road, compared to the one that has been utterly dominant at home and boasts the best home record in the division. The huge difference is a bit of a mystery in all honesty but the stats don’t lie and given Atletico PR’s awful away record, Corinthians should have enough about them to edge this.

They’re not playing brilliantly though so a convincing win looks unlikely and it’s worth noting that 6 of Atletico PR’s last 9 away games have ended in 1-0 defeats. Corinthians also won by that margin in their most recent match, at home to Internacional last weekend, so a repeat looks likely here and you can back Corinthians to win 1-0 at 5/1.