Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV Predictions

• An Eredivisie-high 19 of PSV’s league games ended with over 2.5 total goals (79%).
• Each of Go Ahead Eagles’ last four Eredivisie games produced over 2.5 goals.
• Each of the last five H2H meetings in Deventer produced over 2.5 goals.

Can the surprise package do the unthinkable?

Go Ahead Eagles enter this clash as rank outsiders, just as they did in their latest home game against Ajax. However, they will be brimming with confidence after winning that game at double figure odds, so PSV will do well not to underestimate this middling Eredivisie outfit.

This is Go Ahead Eagles’ first KNVB Beker semi-final appearance since a 6-0 defeat to Ajax in 2010, though each of the last three games at this stage produced over 3.5 goals in total! The hosts know that progression is far from guaranteed though, after falling at this stage in each of their last five semi-final attempts.

PSV can clip the Eagles’ wings

Unlike their hosts, PSV have progressed from the semi-final stage in each of their last four appearances, most recently with a 3-0 success over Zwolle on route to losing the final to AZ. However, they are usually entertaining affairs, with three of the last four producing over 2.5 total goals.

Combine that cup form with the fact that PSV’s Eredivisie games have produced one of the league’s highest total goals per-match averages (3.7). As such, I predict that this game will produce over 2.5 goals and for smaller stakes, I am siding with PSV to triumph by a 3-1 scoreline.