IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK Predictions

  • 15:30
  • Expired
  • Nya Parken
IFK Norrkoping
Ostersunds Fk

odds when tipped

odds when tipped

Tip Reasoning

Although they’ve certainly not ripped it up, Norrkoping have performed respectably this season; they’re in a respectable 7th position after 16 matches and are just five points shy of the coveted top three. That said, they were beaten by Ostersunds last weekend, so they probably won’t be full of confidence ahead of this reverse fixture. Boss Jens Gustafsson will be hoping that the return to Nya Parken sparks a return to form.

Norrkoping did lose against Ostersunds last weekend, but they certainly weren’t outclassed. In fact, since they were away from home, there wasn’t too much wrong with their efforts. In truth, having ended the game with more shots on target and an expected goal difference of -0.16, Gustafsson’s side were slightly hard done by.

On their own patch, without setting the world alight, Norrkoping have been sturdy. They’ve only won three out of seven at Nya Parken but they’ve only lost twice. They’ve scored ten goals in front of a home crowd, which is respectable, while a total of eight against isn’t too bad either.

In contrast, Ostersunds have found life on the road tough. The visitors may come into this game fresh off a win in the reverse fixture, but they’ve won just one of their seven away games this season.

The main issue for Ian Burchnall’s men has been a lack of power in the final third. Ostersunds have scored a measly four goals in seven travelling matches, three of which they’ve failed to score in. At the other end, they’ve shipped 11. Not only have they struggled to both score and keep teams at bay, but they’ve posted a poor average of 0.82 expected goals for and have surrendered an average of 1.96, so it’s easy to see why accumulating points away from home is troubling Sunday’s visitors.

Despite winning last Sunday, things don’t look good for Ostersunds ahead of this match, though they may just represent a slice of value at the current prices. Given what we’ve seen from the pair in their respective home and away games, Norrkoping are the most likely winners of this fixture, but do they really warrant the current 4/7 price-tag? Quite simply, no. The fact that the hosts played in the Europa League on Thursday night certainly doesn’t help their cause.

As useful as they’ve been at home, Norrkoping have only won three out of seven, so they’re not as infallible as the early betting suggests. Ostersunds haven’t been great on the road, though since they come into this game off the back of a win against Sunday’s opponents and off the back of their best away performance of the season, where they drew with Sirius, who recently won at this venue, the visitors should really be a tad shorter. Therefore, a small play on ‘Ostersunds Draw No Bet’ offers punters a slice of value.

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