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Lens vs PSG Predictions

  • 20:00
  • Expired
  • Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens
PSG

Over 2.5 Match Goals

8/15odds when tipped
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£15.70
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PSG 2-1

15/2odds when tipped
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Lens vs PSG Predictions

  • At least three goals have been scored in each of Lens’ last six games.
  • At least three goals have been scored in each of PSG’s last four away games.
  • PSG have scored at least two goals in six of their eight away games in Ligue 1 this season.

Lens will have leaders in sharp focus

Paris Saint-Germain will look to extend their 12-point lead at the top of Ligue 1 when they travel to Stade Bollaert-Delelis to play in front of the passionate Lens fans on Saturday.

Sang et Or got their first win over PSG in 14 years last season, but the circumstances leading up to this fixture are very different. Thomas Tuchel was without seven COVID-hit first-team stars 15 months ago and his young line-up could only muster one shot on target in a 1-0 away defeat.

Neymar will again be missing on Saturday, this time with an ankle injury, but Kylian Mbappe, Lionel Messi and Angel Di Maria are all expected to travel.

PSG should expect to be pressed by Lens

PSG have dropped five points on their travels this season: from a 2-0 reverse at Rennes, who pressed them into submission and a 0-0 draw at Marseille in which they clung on with ten men for the last 33 minutes.

As Manchester City showed recently, PSG don’t fare well when pressed and Lens are among the best in Ligue 1 at doing it. This puts us off the odds-on price for Mauricio Pochettino’s side to win and points us towards a safer haven – over 2.5 goals in the game.

At least three goals have been scored in each of Lens’ last six games and, likewise, in each of PSG’s last four away games. Pochettino’s side have scored at least twice themselves in 75% of their away games while Lens are averaging over two goals per game at home.

We’re going for a correct score bet of 2-1 to PSG here, but if Lens’ gameplan is to press and it works there’s an argument a 2-1 home win offers greater value.


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