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Liverpool vs Arsenal Predictions

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Over 2.5 Match Goals

8/11odds when tipped
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Liverpool 2-1

15/2odds when tipped
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Liverpool vs Arsenal Predictions

  • Over 2.5 goals has landed in five of Liverpool’s last six games and in four of Arsenal’s last five.
  • Nine of Liverpool’s 14 games at Anfield in all competitions have seen three of more goals scored.
  • There have been at last three goals scored in seven of the last nine meetings between the two sides.
  • Liverpool are unbeaten at home in all competitions (W10, D4).

Liverpool host Arsenal in EFL Cup semi-finals

Liverpool and Arsenal meet at Anfield in the first leg of their EFL Cup semi-final tie on Thursday in what has the potential to be an entertaining affair.

This should be the second leg, but last week’s first leg at the Emirates had to be postponed due to what turned out to be a batch of false positive Covid-19 test results in the Liverpool camp.

Both sides have plenty of selection problems and the hosts will be without Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane as they have joined up with their nations for AFCON, as has midfielder Naby Keita. Trent Alexander-Arnold and Thiago Alcantara are missing, while keeper Alisson is rated as a doubt.

The Gunners also have four players absent due to AFCON including midfield enforcer Thomas Partey and forward Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, although he probably wouldn’t have been involved anyway.

Goals on the cards on Merseyside

Liverpool have been tremendous at home this season and are unbeaten after 14 games in all competitions (W10, D4) but the absence of key forwards Salah and Mane is a concern. The goals markets do stand out, however, and over 2.5 goals looks a strong option for our main bet.

There have been at least three goals scored in nine of Liverpool’s games at Anfield in all competitions and in five of their last six overall. Over 2.5 goals has landed in four of Arsenal’s last five and in five of their last six away and there are generally plenty of goals when these two sides meet – with seven of the last nine meetings between these two teams in all competitions yielding at least three goals.

Home advantage gives Liverpool the edge

Arsenal produced a limp display at the weekend as they were dumped out of the FA Cup by Championship side Nottingham Forest. Boss Mikel Arteta did make changes for that game and will go with his best XI available at Anfield so we should expect an improved performance, but Liverpool’s home record is hard to ignore even if they are without their two best attackers.

The EFL Cup is now Arsenal’s only chance of silverware this season and they can keep this tie alive, but home advantage may just prove the difference and a narrow 2-1 win for Liverpool has a chance in the correct score market. The Gunners have three defeats in their last five trips but all of those losses have been by one goal margins, while Liverpool have failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last three home games so the visitors should be able to grab a goal and ensure they are still in with a chance of reaching the final going into the second leg in North London.

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