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Sao Paulo vs America MG Predictions

  • 19:00
  • Expired
  • Cícero Pompeu de Toledo Stadium
Sao Paulo
America MG

Both Teams To Score

21/20odds when tipped
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Draw 1-1

11/2odds when tipped
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Tip Reasoning

  • Both teams have scored in four of the last five Sao Paulo matches in all competitions.
  • Both teams have scored in the last three Sao Paulo home games in Serie A.
  • Both teams have scored in two of America Mineiro’s last three away league games.

Tricolor’s trend for 1-1 draws cannot be ignored any more

São Paulo couldn’t beat Coritiba on Thursday night when, despite dominating the game and creating enough chances, familiar failings appeared to hinder them. Tricolor are 14 games unbeaten in the Brasileirão and still in good form according to their coach, but eight of those games have been drawn.

Rogério Ceni felt his side deserved more from their trip to Paraná and the stats bear that opinion out to a point as Sao Paulo racked up 16 shots, 10 corners and approaching 500 passes. But, on the back of recent missteps against minnows Ceara and Avai, not winning when on top is a concerning trend for any of their odds-on supporters in the match result market.

Ceni is hoping to get stalwart central defender Robert Arboleda back from Ecuador duty in time for this game – even if he has played in their match less than 24 hours before. Sao Paulo have lacked their usual authority at the back and miss a bit of physicality when defending set pieces without him.

Goals not usually a problem for hosts

They remain a fearsome attacking force and only leaders Palmeiras have scored more in the league this term, so we have no problem in backing them to notch at least once here. America are coming off a damaging 2-0 midweek home loss to Ceara which saw them create very little as they were tactically outmaneuvered by the visitors.

Vagner Mancini sets his team up to play on the counter-attack and they have no Plan B when that approach falls down, as it did at home to a team intent on doing the same. But the scenario at the Morumbi will suit them down to the ground as Sao Paulo will come onto them and we can expect better from them in attack.

There is value in the both teams to score market as America have bagged in two of their three away contests against teams currently above them in the table. A 1-1 full-time result also chimes given four of Sao Paulo’s last five games have finished that way and so did America’s last visit to the city when they claimed at a draw at Corinthians late last month.

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