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Serbia vs Montenegro Predictions

  • 14:00
  • Expired
  • Rajko Mitić Stadium

odds when tipped

odds when tipped

Tip Reasoning

Group C4 in the UEFA Nations League is incredibly tight, with the exception of almost relegated Lithuania. The group’s other three sides are locked in a battle for promotion, and two of them meet in Belgrade this weekend. Currently, Serbia top the pile with Montenegro just a point behind. Romania sit two points off the top, and their home clash with Lithuania on Saturday night could see them make a push for first place. That makes this encounter a key game for both sides, but who will claim the advantage?

Serbia look to be in a great position, with home clashes against Montenegro and Lithuania in their final two matches. They have their grip on top spot as it stands, and they know their rivals will be meeting in the final match in a few days time. That could set them up for promotion to the second tier, something they arguably deserve after a solid display in World Cup qualifying, and after pushing for a last 16 spot in Russia this summer. They will be hoping to make the Euros in two years’ time, which will mark the 20th anniversary of the last time they qualified for the tournament.

Back then, the team was still known as FR Yugoslavia, before changing to Serbia and Montenegro in 2003. Montenegro went out on their own in their first international in 2007, and they’ve been through five unsuccessful qualifying campaigns since. However, they finished second in their qualifying group ahead of Euro 2012, third in the previous round of World Cup qualifiers, and now they’re aiming to make it up a tier in the Nations League. A win against Serbia would also put them in pole position for the play-offs for Euro 2020, giving them a clear path to their first major tournament as an independent nation.

However, Serbia have been made favourites here, following their 2-0 win in the reverse fixture last month. However, their 0-0 draw in Romania left the top of the group incredibly tight. We’ve seen narrow matches throughout this group, with Serbia seeing a total of seven goals in their four matches. Meanwhile, Montenegro have seen a total of nine goals, over half of which came in their 4-1 win over group whipping boys Lithuania. With key forward Stevan Jovetić ruled out, the visitors are likely to be lacking attacking threat.

So far, each side has seen three of their four matches finish with under 2.5 goals. Montenegro have seen three 0-0 draws in their last four away trips, and they may look to keep things tight here given how close the group is. We’re backing under 2.5 goals in this clash, while we’re going with a 2-0 victory for Serbia.

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