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Sevilla vs Villarreal Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

  • 11:00
  • Expired
  • Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Tip Reasoning

Sevilla suffered a setback last weekend with their defeat at Espanyol but back on home soil they should get back on track against a Villarreal side that haven’t been at their best lately.

The Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán has been a real fortress again this term and Sevilla’s home record is a big reason why they are level on points with Barcelona and on the tails of Real Madrid. They’ve won a huge 89% of their home matches in La Liga to give them an average of 2.67 points per game on their own ground. No side in La Liga can better that and given Sevilla have played 11 away games compared to 9 at home so far, there is real reason to believe they can stick around in the top three or four for the remainder of the season.

Villarreal meanwhile have struggled a bit on their travels and there isn’t much about their current form that suggests they will avoid defeat here. They’ve only won 22% of their away games in La Liga and average just 1.22 points per game on their travels, compared to 1.7 overall. They’ve also picked up just one win from their last seven games and although that was last time out, it was at home to bottom club Granada, so we probably shouldn’t read too much in that.

Therefore, a Sevilla win looks highly likely but they are quite short at 8/13 to get it. You can get bigger returns by also backing there to be at least three goals in the game. That looks a smart move given there have been over 2.5 goals in 75% of Sevilla matches this term and 78% of their home games. All of their last 9 games in all competitions have produced over 2.5 goals.

Villarreal matches haven’t been quite so open but they’ve looked weaker at the back in recent matches with only 2 clean sheets in their last 8 games. Sevilla’s open, attacking style does give the opposition the chance to counter and there should be a goal in this for the visitors but you wouldn’t bet against Sevilla at home right now.

Therefore, backing Sevilla to Win & Over 2.5 goals at 7/5 looks to offer value.

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